QM Research (@QM Research)
Posts
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Super Thursday Brings Super Volatility: SAP Crashes 16%
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Thu, 29 January 2026
Daily Insights
European markets showed mixed performance today, with a heavy focus on corporate earnings season ("super Thursday" for many companies). The session featured gains in some indices offset by notable drags, particularly in tech.
Key Drivers and Highlights
- Earnings Season Impact: A flood of Q4 results drove movements. ABB surged 8% on strong results,
- Major Drag: SAP plummeted 16% (its worst day since 2020) after cloud revenue missed estimates and warnings of slower backlog growth in 2026 which heavily weighed on the DAX and tech sentiment.
- Some pharma names like Roche and Sanofi were weaker (currency impacts and missed expectations), while miners benefited from commodity strength (gold/silver surge amid weak dollar).
- The weaker US dollar supported commodity-related stocks and boosted some euro-denominated assets. The Fed kept rates steady (as expected), but geopolitical tensions (US-Iran) and euro strength concerns added caution. No major economic data releases dominated, but corporate news took center stage.
Overall, it was a choppy day with earnings dispersion creating winners and losers, leading to uneven closes across Europe. Tech-heavy pressures (especially SAP) pulled some indices lower, while commodity and financial resilience helped others hold up.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist presents two Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setups in the European market, targeting oversold conditions with improving momentum. These opportunities span the chemicals and banking sectors, offering potential for 1-4 week swings with solid hit rates around 70%. The setups appear robust, supported by advancing medium-term Qscores, positioning them as high-probability entries amid current market rotations.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Air Liquide Sa (AI:XPAR) ▲ -5.0 ↑ 163.00 +3.0% 72% Avanza Bank Hold (AZA:XSTO) -5.7 365.36 +4.7% 69% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
European benchmarks traded mixed, with the DAX declining over 2% while the FTSE 100 edged higher, and the Stoxx 600 slipping modestly; the VSTOXX volatility index jumped sharply by nearly 13%, underscoring rising unease. Energy led sector gains with broad-based advances, contrasting sharply with information technology's steep drop of more than 3%, as equal-weighted GICS data confirmed widespread weakness in health care and materials. What this means: The rotation into defensive and commodity-linked areas suggests investors are hedging against growth slowdown risks, with elevated volatility potentially amplifying near-term swings. Pending Medium-Term Reversal longs in select names align with this, offering mean-reversion potential if momentum stabilizes.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD FTSE 100 +0.2% +0.3% CAC 40 +0.1% -0.9% STOXX 600 -0.2% Euro Stoxx 50 -0.7% DAX -2.1% -2.4% Volatility
VSTOXX +12.8% +18.7% -
Fed Holds Steady, Tech Earnings Take Center Stage
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Wed, 28 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, U.S. equities presented a mixed picture with major indices showing minimal net changes amid selective sector rotations. Technology and energy sectors demonstrated resilience, buoyed by positive momentum in key components, while defensive areas like consumer staples and real estate faced headwinds.
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady as widely expected. The FOMC statement noted solid economic growth, still-elevated inflation, and signs of stabilization in the job market. Chair Jerome Powell's press conference provided little new direction on future cuts, with market pricing now leaning toward possibly two rate cuts in 2026, potentially starting around June.
The session was largely "wait-and-see" ahead of major Big Tech earnings reports with Meta and Tesla up pre-market on positive results.
Gold prices climbed to fresh record highs (above $5,500/oz), oil was firmer, and the dollar rebounded somewhat.
Overall, a flat-to-slightly-positive day with the spotlight on the Fed's caution and upcoming tech earnings driving sentiment.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights two compelling long opportunities in the healthcare and technology sectors, both featuring Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups with robust hit rates above 70%. These positions target oversold conditions showing early signs of momentum improvement, as indicated by advancing medium-term Qscores. The setups align with the methodology's emphasis on high-probability mean-reversion trades over the next 1-4 weeks, offering selective entry points in a mixed market.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Acadia Healthcar (ACHC:XNGS) ★ -8.0 ↑ 15.60 +16.0% 71% Zscaler Inc (ZS:XNGS) ▲ -9.1 233.99 +9.4% 76% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Major indices traded flat to slightly lower, with the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 showing negligible declines, while the Russell 2000 underperformed amid broader small-cap weakness; technology and energy sectors led gains through SPDR ETFs, contrasting with losses in consumer staples and real estate. The Magnificent 7 displayed mixed results, with NVIDIA advancing notably but Apple and Amazon lagging, highlighting divergence within mega-cap tech. Energy's outperformance alongside subdued VIX levels points to selective risk-taking in cyclicals. What this means: Investors appear to be rotating toward sectors with improving fundamentals, potentially broadening market participation, and with Pending Medium-Term Reversal signals emerging in laggard tech names like Intel and Alphabet, mean-reversion plays could gain traction if momentum builds.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Dow Jones +0.0% -0.2% S&P 500 -0.0% +0.9% Russell 1000 -0.1% +0.8% Russell 2000 -0.5% -0.6% Volatility
VIX0.0% +1.6% US Sector ETFs
1D (%) -
Red Close in Europe: Defensive Rotation & A High-Probability Financial Play
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Wed, 28 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European equities faced headwinds from heightened volatility and mixed sector performances, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
Major indices like the Stoxx 600 and Euro Stoxx 50 registered modest declines, signaling a pause in the recent uptrend. Sector rotation favored defensive areas such as Real Estate and Utilities, while cyclical sectors like Health Care and Information Technology encountered pressure.
The session saw early pressure from luxury goods and pharmaceutical sectors, while chip-related stocks had mixed reactions.
Overall, European bourses ended in the red after two days of gains, with investors digesting corporate earnings and positioning for US developments. No major shocks, but a consolidative tone dominated.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights a single compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal setup in the financial sector. This long opportunity in Avanza Bank Holding targets an oversold condition with improving medium-term momentum, as indicated by the advancing Qscore. The projected hit rate of 69% positions it as a high-probability entry for the 1-4 week horizon, aligning with our focus on quality setups.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Avanza Bank Hold (AZA:XSTO) ▲ -5.7 ↑ 365.98 +4.5% 69% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
European benchmarks traded lower across the board, with the CAC 40 and Euro Stoxx 50 posting declines of over 1%, while the VSTOXX surged nearly 7% to signal rising unease. Real Estate emerged as the top-performing sector, gaining over 1%, buoyed by supportive yields, whereas Health Care lagged with a 1.5% drop; standout decliners included luxury names like LVMH and Christian Dior, down sharply in Consumer Discretionary. What this means: The rotation toward defensives amid elevated volatility points to a risk-off tilt, with investors favoring stability over growth; the Pending Medium-Term Reversal in financials could offer a counter-trend play if momentum stabilizes.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD DAX -0.3% FTSE 100 -0.5% +0.1% STOXX 600 -0.8% +0.0% Euro Stoxx 50 -1.0% -0.2% CAC 40 -1.1% -0.9% Volatility
VSTOXX +6.9% +5.3% -
UNH Plunges 20% Drags Dow; Big Tech Earnings Start Today
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Tue, 27 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US equities presented a mixed picture amid ongoing sector rotation and selective risk appetite. Technology and utilities sectors demonstrated resilience, buoyed by steady momentum in mega-cap names, while health care faced significant pressure from adverse developments in key constituents.
Key drivers from the session included:
- Tech strength powered gains in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, with names like Amazon (+2.63%), Microsoft (+2.23%), and Cisco Systems contributing positively ahead of their upcoming reports.
- A major drag came from UnitedHealth Group (UNH), which plunged nearly 20% after issuing softer fiscal 2026 revenue guidance and amid reports of proposed Medicare Advantage reimbursement changes This rippled to other insurers like Humana and CVS Health.
- Other notable movers: Boeing slipped on results, while General Motors surged 8.8% after lifting its 2026 guidance and beating expectations.
Markets are in a pivotal week, with the Federal Reserve policy decision due today (January 28), widely expected to hold rates steady, but traders watching for clues on future cuts.
Big tech earnings kick off heavily today/this week: Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, IBM, and others report, which could drive volatility, especially around AI spending, guidance, and growth sustainability.
Overall, it was a tech-led advance for the broader indexes, offset by healthcare/insurance pain in the Dow, setting the stage for today's Fed announcement and mega-cap results to potentially dictate near-term direction.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights four high-probability long setups across health care, communication services, consumer staples, and real estate sectors. These Pending Medium-Term Reversal and Top Quantmatix signals target oversold conditions with improving medium-term momentum, offering 1-4 week horizons. Hit rates range from solid to strong, indicating favorable expected value for entries in these diverse names. Overall, the list reflects a bullish tilt in selective rotations away from recent laggards.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Acadia Healthcar (ACHC:XNGS) ★ -8.0 ↑ 15.65 +16.1% 71% Netflix Inc (NFLX:XNGS) ▲ -9.0 92.72 +8.3% 78% Campbell Soup Co (CPB:XNYS) -8.6 28.85 +5.4% 65% American Tower C (AMT:XNYS) -6.1 186.98 +3.8% 67% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Health care stocks led decliners sharply, with major insurers like Humana and UnitedHealth posting double-digit losses, dragging the sector ETF lower by over 1.6%, while utilities and technology sectors outperformed amid broader index gains near 0.4%. The Magnificent 7 showed mixed results, with Amazon and Microsoft advancing over 2% but Tesla lagging, highlighting divergence within mega-caps as the Dow slipped nearly 1%. What this means: The pronounced weakness in health care signals potential oversold conditions and rotation toward defensives like utilities, reinforcing a risk-off tilt in select areas; with pending short signals in names like UnitedHealth and the Dow, mean-reversion plays could emerge if the pressure eases.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P 500 +0.4% +0.9% Russell 1000 +0.8% Russell 2000 +0.3% -0.1% Dow Jones -0.8% -0.2% Volatility
VIX +1.2% +1.6%US Sector ETFs
1D (%) -
Hot CPI Data Shifts Rate Outlook – Energy Leads, Tech Lags
Focus: AustraliaAsia/PacFocus: Australia
Market Close: Wed, 28 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, Australian markets exhibited mixed performance with selective strength in resource sectors offsetting broader weakness in technology and consumer areas. Energy and materials led the advance, buoyed by positive commodity sentiment, while financials and health care sectors faced downward pressure.
The main driver was the release of December inflation data (CPI), which came in higher than expected: Annual CPI rose to 3.8% (from 3.4% in November), exceeding market forecasts of around 3.6% and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) trimmed-mean expectations.
This strengthened the case for a potential interest rate hike by the RBA at its next meeting (likely early February), with money markets pricing in roughly 75% probability of a rise. Rate-sensitive sectors like technology weighed on the index.
Overall, it was a modest pullback driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data raising rate hike odds, rather than broad-based selling.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
There are no swing trading opportunities to report today. The TEVO methodology applies rigorous filtering criteria to identify only the highest-probability setups, and current market conditions have not produced candidates meeting these thresholds. This is a normal occurrence that reflects the system's commitment to quality over quantity.
Market Movements
Energy and materials sectors outperformed decisively today, led by strong gains in uranium and mining stocks, while information technology and consumer discretionary lagged significantly amid broader market rotation. The S&P/ASX 300 edged lower, contrasting with modest gains in the S&P/ASX 50, highlighting divergence between large-cap stability and mid-cap volatility. What this means: Commodity-driven leadership signals resilient cyclical sentiment, but weakness in growth areas may present reversal setups for investors seeking to capitalize on potential mean-reversion as momentum shifts.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P/ASX 50 INDEX +0.0% +1.1% S&P/ASX 300 -0.1% +0.8% -
Historic EU-India Trade Pact Boosts Sentiment Across Europe
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Tue, 27 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European markets exhibited mainly positive performance amid ongoing sector rotation and cautious risk appetite. Broad indices like the Stoxx 600 advanced, supported by gains in defensive and financial sectors, while the DAX faced slight pressure.
Macro & policy drivers
- A landmark free-trade agreement was signed between the European Union and India, expected to vastly expand market access and slash tariffs on industrial goods — helping lift sentiment across European markets.
- German and French finance leaders proposed a new EU forum to boost competitiveness, supply chain resilience and financing for growth firms — a sign policymakers are focusing on structural reform.
- The European Banking Federation warned that current EU rules could hinder lending and put European banks at a disadvantage compared with the UK and US — adding a regulatory overhang.
- Sales of fully electric cars in the EU surpassed petrol-only vehicles for the first time, highlighting structural industry shifts that can influence related stocks.
- EUR/USD strengthened, as the euro rose amid broader risk appetite and data flows.
- GBP/USD also rallied, contributing to UK market upside.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights two Pending Medium-Term Reversal long opportunities in the UK real estate and software sectors. Both setups feature improving medium-term momentum, positioning them for potential 1-4 week upside with solid historical hit rates. These candidates reflect the methodology's focus on oversold conditions ripe for recovery, offering high-probability entries amid broader market stabilization.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Sage Group (SGE:XLON) ▲ -4.7 ↑ 10.57 +6.8% 68% Rightmove (RMV:XLON) -7.7 5.37 +5.9% 76% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
European benchmarks showed resilience with the Stoxx 600 and Euro Stoxx 50 gaining ground, though the DAX lagged amid selective pressures, while the FTSE 100 and CAC 40 posted modest advances; Utilities led sector performance convincingly, followed by Financials and Industrials, as Materials trailed with notable weakness. Volatility dipped as measured by the VSTOXX, underscoring subdued risk levels. What this means: The rotation into defensives signals investor preference for stability over cyclical bets, potentially broadening market participation if momentum continues to build; with fresh Pending Medium-Term Reversal longs emerging in improving setups, mean-reversion could accelerate in laggard areas.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Euro Stoxx 50 +0.6% +0.8% STOXX 600 FTSE 100 CAC 40 +0.3% +0.1% DAX -0.1% -0.0% Volatility
VSTOXX -0.5% -1.6% -
S&P 500 Rises on Tech Strength — 4 TEVO Reversals (Up to 78% Hit Rate)
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Mon, 26 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US equities displayed mixed performance amid ongoing sector rotation and selective strength in mega-cap technology names. Defensive sectors such as utilities showed relative outperformance, suggesting a cautious approach to risk amid stable volatility levels.
Key drivers included:
- Strength in technology and communication services, as investors positioned ahead of Big Tech results. AI-related hype continued to support hyperscalers like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon, though valuations drew some caution from figures like Bill Gates on stretched multiples.
- Financials and industrials added support, with broader earnings growth fueling optimism over multiple expansion.
- Commodities rally: Gold's surge boosted related miners and safe-haven plays, while silver and copper also climbed; oil (WTI) dipped slightly.
- The 10-year Treasury yield eased below 4.22%, providing a tailwind for equities.
Overall, it was a resilient, bullish start to the week amid anticipation for earnings and Fed signals, with positive momentum from tech and commodities.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights four compelling long setups via Pending Medium-Term Reversals and a Pending Medium-Term Top Quantmatix, spanning communication services, technology, health care, and consumer staples. These opportunities target oversold conditions with improving medium-term momentum, as indicated by advancing Qscores despite current negative readings. Hit rates range from solid to strong, underscoring high-probability entries for the 1-4 week horizon.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Netflix Inc (NFLX:XNGS) ▲ -9.0 ↑ 92.98 +8.5% 78% Tyler Technolog (TYL:XNYS) ▲ -7.6 ↑ 465.27 +5.8% 73% Acadia Healthcar (ACHC:XNGS) ★ -7.9 ↑ 16.88 +10.8% 71% Campbell Soup Co (CPB:XNYS) ▲ -8.6 ↑ 28.71 +5.8% 65% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Major indices advanced modestly, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones posting gains, while the Russell 2000 lagged, highlighting a divergence between large-cap resilience and small-cap weakness; among the Magnificent 7, Apple and Meta led with notable upside, but Tesla underperformed sharply. Sector rotation favored defensives like Utilities alongside Technology, per SPDR ETFs, while equal-weighted GICS data confirmed Information Technology and Utilities as top performers against laggards in Real Estate and Consumer Discretionary. What this means: The action signals a market favoring quality and defensives amid mixed mega-cap momentum, potentially setting up for mean-reversion in underperformers where pending reversal setups have emerged today.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Dow Jones +0.6%
+0.6%
S&P 500 +0.5%
+0.5%
Russell 1000 +0.5%
+0.5%
Russell 2000 -0.4%
-0.4%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD +0.4%
+0.4%
GBP/USD +0.3%
+0.3%
US Dollar Index 0.0%
0.0%
USD/CNY -0.1%
-0.1%
USD/CHF -0.4%
-0.4%
USD/JPY -1.0%
-1.0%
Volatility
1D WTD VIX +0.4%
+0.4%
Crypto
1D WTD Bitcoin +1.2%
+1.2%
US Sector ETFs
1D (%) +0.7% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.7% Mag 7
1D WTD APPLE INC +3.0%
+3.0%
META PLATFORMS-A +2.1%
+2.1%
ALPHABET INC-A +1.6%
+1.6%
MICROSOFT CORP +0.9%
+0.9%
AMAZON INC -0.3%
-0.3%
NVIDIA CORP -0.6%
-0.6%
TESLA INC -3.1%
-3.1%
Focus: Russell 1000Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Zoom Video Com-A +11.3%
+11.3%
Cloudflare Inc-A +9.2%
+9.2%
Sarepta Therapeu +7.9%
+7.9%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Mp Materials Corp. -8.8%
-8.8%
Booz Allen Hamil -8.1%
-8.1%
Plug Power Inc -8.0%
-8.0%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +1.2% +0.9% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% -0.0% -0.1% -0.4% -0.4% -0.5% -0.6% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals continue to deliver strong results, with last week's trades capturing gains up to 11.3% on short-term reversals and medium-term setups, underscoring Quantmatix's precision in navigating market swings.
Date Profit % ZOOM VIDEO COM-A (ZM:XNGS) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +11.3% ALCOA CORP (AA:XNYS) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +5.9% INTEL CORP (INTC:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +5.7% ATLASSIAN CORP-A (TEAM:XNGS) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +5.1% ELASTIC NV (ESTC:XNYS) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +4.7% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Commodity Boom Powers ASX — One High-Conviction TEVO Long
Focus: AustraliaAsia/PacFocus: Australia
Market Close: Tue, 27 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, Australian equities registered modest advances, reflecting a balanced session amid ongoing sector rotation. Utilities and materials sectors led the gains, signaling investor preference for defensive and commodity-linked plays, while industrials and real estate encountered headwinds from broader economic pressures.
Key drivers included:
- Strength in materials (resources/mining sector), fueled by surging commodity prices as gold hit new record highs , silver jumped sharply, and copper also rose. This boosted gold miners, copper-related stocks, and major miners.
- Financials and other sectors contributed to the broad rally.
- BHP overtook Commonwealth Bank (CBA) as Australia's most valuable company by market cap amid the resources rotation.
Overall, it was a bullish session with solid breadth (more advancers than decliners), driven by commodity momentum and positive global cues, pushing the market close to within 2% of all-time highs.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights a single high-conviction Pending Medium-Term Top Quantmatix long setup in the consumer services space. This opportunity emerges from oversold conditions with momentum showing early signs of improvement, backed by a solid historical hit rate. It positions investors for a potential 1-4 week swing targeting meaningful upside in a selective market environment.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Seek Ltd (SEK:XASX) ★ -8.3 ↑ 23.99 +5.2% 69% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Australian benchmarks edged higher, with the ASX 300 advancing amid leadership from utilities and materials, while real estate and industrials lagged notably. Standout individual performers included names in industrials and health care, contrasting sharp declines in materials like Alcoa, where pending reversal signals appeared. What this means: The rotation toward defensive sectors indicates cautious risk appetite, but with reversal setups in decliners, mean-reversion opportunities may arise if broader momentum holds.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P/ASX 50 INDEX +1.1%
+1.1%
S&P/ASX 300 +0.9%
+0.9%
Focus: ASX 300Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Supply Network Limited +10.9%
+10.9%
Capstone Copper Corp. +7.5%
+7.5%
Pro Medicus Ltd +5.1%
+5.1%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Alcoa Corporation ▼
-8.8%
-8.8%
Life360, Inc. ▲
-8.6%
-8.6%
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited -8.0%
-8.0%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +1.3% +0.9% +0.8% +0.3% -0.0% -0.2% -0.2% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals delivered robust performance last week, with Short-Term and Medium-Term Reversals capturing gains up to 6.5% in just days, highlighting the reliability of Quantmatix's analytical edge.
Date Profit % DRONESHIELD LIMITED (DRO:XASX) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +6.5% LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED (LYC:XASX) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +5.0% MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED (MND:XASX) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +3.9% NUIX LIMITED (NXL:XASX) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +3.5% PERPETUAL LIMITED (PPT:XASX) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +2.2% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Europe Treads Water: Materials Shine, Travel & Defense Fade
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Mon, 26 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European equities exhibited mild resilience amid mixed global cues, with investors navigating ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and sector-specific developments.
Key Drivers Behind Today’s Moves
- Geopolitical and trade uncertainty
- Markets remain sensitive to ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade concerns — especially residual worries about U.S. tariff talk and global trade dynamics.
- These remain a significant backdrop even if specific headlines calm.
Macro & policy focus: Investors are watching upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy signals closely — with expectations around interest rate decisions influencing sentiment.
Earnings season attention also helped shape trading flows, as corporate updates roll in.
Today’s European trading session was defined by cautious sentiment with markets mostly flat to slightly lower. There was sector divergence, metals up, travel and defence weaker. Macro drivers are front-and-centre - Fed policy, earnings and global geopolitical news.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights three compelling long opportunities in the European media and information services space, all featuring Pending Medium-Term Reversal and Top Quantmatix setups. These positions target oversold conditions with strong historical hit rates above 70%, indicating positive expected value over the 1-4 week horizon. The concentration in long setups underscores improving momentum in select underperformers, offering high-probability entries for swing traders.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Vivendi Se (VIV:XPAR) ★ -7.6 ↑ 2.60 +7.2% 72% Sage Group (SGE:XLON) ▲ -4.4 ↑ 10.96 +5.1% 68% Informa Plc (INF:XLON) ★ -6.0 ↑ 9.41 +3.6% 77% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
European benchmarks traded modestly higher, led by the Stoxx 600's 0.2% gain, though the CAC 40 dipped slightly amid divergent performances across major indices. Materials surged to lead sectors with Utilities close behind, while Industrials lagged, highlighting a rotation toward resource and defensive plays; standout individual movers included PUMA SE with a sharp 16.9% advance in consumer discretionary. Decliners like Hemnet and Teleperformance, both carrying Pending Medium-Term Reversal short signals, suggest potential mean-reversion setups in overextended names. This action points to broadening participation beyond recent leaders, with lower volatility supporting a constructive backdrop for selective risk-taking.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD STOXX 600 +0.2%
+0.2%
Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2%
+0.2%
DAX +0.1%
+0.1%
FTSE 100 +0.1%
+0.1%
CAC 40 -0.1%
-0.1%
Fixed Income
1D WTD GERMANY GOVT 10Y 0.0%
0.0%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD 0.0%
0.0%
Commodities
1D WTD Natural Gas Future ICE 0.0%
0.0%
Volatility
1D WTD VSTOXX -1.1%
-1.1%
Focus: Stoxx 600Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Puma Se +16.9%
+16.9%
Ubisoft Entertai +9.6%
+9.6%
Kghm +8.4%
+8.4%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Hemnet ▼
-9.4%
-9.4%
Teleperformance ▼
-7.7%
-7.7%
3I Group Plc -4.9%
-4.9%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +0.8% +0.7% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1% -0.2% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals delivered strong results last week, with top performers generating profits up to 4.7% from Short-Term and Medium-Term Reversal trades across long and short positions, affirming Quantmatix's precision in capturing market moves.
Date Profit % NEMETSCHEK SE (NEM:XETR) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +4.7% MYCRONIC AB (MYCR:XSTO) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +3.2% UMICORE (UMI:XBRU) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +3.0% KINGSPAN GROUP (KSP:XDUB) ▲ Fri, 23 Jan +2.2% ST JAMES'S PLACE (STJ:XLON) ▼ Fri, 23 Jan +2.1% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Market Pulse: Range-Bound Equities, Surging Precious Metals
Focus: Global MacroGlobal MacroFocus: Global Macro
Market Close: Fri, 23 January 2026
Weekly Insights
Markets exhibited a mixed tone across the week, with selective risk-on moves in commodities and select currencies amid a broadly range-bound equity landscape. The US dollar weakened notably against major pairs, supporting gains in gold and silver, while energy prices held steady despite volatility upticks. Fixed income yields edged higher, particularly at the short end, signaling persistent policy expectations. Dominant drivers included shifting liquidity preferences and commodity demand dynamics, influencing cross-asset flows.
Executive Summary
- Macro Regime: Neutral → Mild Risk-On
- Dominant Theme: USD liquidity and commodity demand
- Market Bias (24–72h): Range-bound with upside skew in commodities
- Key Risk: Elevated short-end yields trigger equity rotation out of duration-sensitive sectors
- Key Opportunity: Dollar weakness enhances commodity inflows and supports resource-linked equities
Market Movements
Weakening USD facilitated substantial advances in precious metals, bolstering materials and energy sectors within equities. This currency dynamic constrained broader equity upside, as European indices lagged amid yield pressures. Volatility regimes hinted at underlying fragility, with flows redirecting toward safe-haven commodities.
Movement signals: Medium-Term Reversal Short signals registered on USDJPY and the Financial sector (XLF), aligning with observed dollar weakness and sector underperformance.
Rates: The yield curve experienced bear flattening, driven by sharper rises in short-end rates amid policy repricing.
Volatility: Volatility remained moderately elevated, with the VIX advancing on equity caution, reflecting fragility rather than outright directional spikes.
Positioning: Positioning shifted toward commodity overweights, amplifying gains in resource assets while constraining USD-exposed flows.
Cross-Asset: USD depreciation propelled commodities higher, indirectly lifting select equity sectors while pressuring fixed income durations.
Equities
1D (%) WTD (%) Hang Seng +0.5%
-0.4%
Nikkei 225 +0.3%
-0.2%
S&P 500 +0.03%
-0.3%
FTSE 100 -0.07%
-0.9%
Euro Stoxx 50 -0.1%
-1.4%
FX
1D (%) WTD (%) GBP/USD +1.0%
+1.9%
AUD/USD +0.8%
+3.2%
EUR/USD +0.6%
+2.0%
GBP/EUR +0.4%
0%
USD/CNY -0.1%
-0.07%
US Dollar Index -0.4%
-1.0%
USD/CAD -0.6%
-1.5%
USD/CHF -1.1%
-2.8%
USD/JPY ▼
-1.7%
-1.6%
Commodities
1D (%) WTD (%) Silver +7.4%
+14.6%
Gold +1.0%
+8.5%
Brent Crude Oil -1.8%
-0.1%
WTI Crude Oil -2.1%
-0.1%
Volatility
1D (%) WTD (%) VIX +2.9%
+1.4%
VSTOXX +1.7%
+7.9%
Crypto
1D (%) WTD (%) Bitcoin -0.3%
-4.8%
Ethereum -0.7%
-10.8%
US Sector ETFs
+0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% +0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -0.8% -1.4% Positioning should emphasize commodity resilience amid USD softness, with tactical overlays in materials and energy. If short-end yields sustain upward momentum, equity rotations toward defensives may accelerate. Upcoming policy communications will serve as the primary catalyst for regime shifts. Volatility stabilization could unlock broader risk appetite. Overall, cross-asset linkages underscore selective opportunities in a fluid macro environment.
Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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US Materials and Real Estate Surge While Biotech and Software Show Warning Signs
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Fri, 23 January 2026
Weekly Insights
Materials and Real Estate Surge While Biotech and Software Show Warning Signs
By Liam Boggan, Quantmatix CEO and Founder, Head of Research
A decisive rotation is underway in U.S. equities, and the momentum signals are pointing toward opportunity in unexpected places. At Quantmatix, our systematic analysis reveals a market increasingly divided between sectors building genuine momentum and those showing early exhaustion signals. For investors willing to position ahead of consensus, the next several weeks could prove pivotal.
The Rotation Taking Shape
Materials and real estate are experiencing the kind of acceleration that typically precedes sustained institutional buying. Materials demonstrates what we call "mature positive momentum"—broad-based strength with institutional conviction behind it. The combination of overwhelming acceleration and minimal negative reversals suggests this trend has runway measured in weeks, not days.
Real estate presents an even more compelling setup. High momentum is building from a low base, creating the classic overlooked opportunity where early positioning pays off before the crowd arrives. This "bullish surge from low regime" pattern offers room to run as capital eventually rotates in.
Where Risk Is Building
Energy tells a different story entirely. Despite surface-level strength, our momentum data reveals a "bear plunge" pattern—historical strength meeting rising deceleration. The sector looks fine to most investors, but momentum is rolling over underneath. By the time this becomes consensus, exit opportunities narrow dramatically.
Biotechnology and pharmaceuticals show similar warning signs. While some names demonstrate compelling momentum, the sector overall displays mixed signals with regime contraction despite scattered strength. This exhaustion risk profile suggests selectivity matters far more than broad exposure.
Technology's Internal Fracture
Technology remains the market's most important sector, but internal divergence is accelerating. Software shows pockets of explosive strength in names experiencing genuine business inflections. These represent early-stage opportunities with volatility, but also conviction.
Semiconductors face mounting headwinds. The broader pattern lacks the deep positive signals that mark sustainable trends. This isn't a sector to abandon—it's one that demands tactical precision rather than blanket positioning.
The Strategic Imperative
The message from our momentum analysis is unambiguous: rotate toward materials and real estate strength while taking profits in energy and maintaining selectivity in biotech and pharma. Technology requires subsector navigation, not broad exposure.
The broader market may grind higher, but dispersion between sectors has rarely mattered more. Passive exposure masks the reality that different sectors are experiencing radically different momentum regimes. Materials and real estate offer established and emerging trends worth overweighting. Energy and parts of healthcare flash profit-taking signals worth heeding.
At Quantmatix, we measure what's happening right now in price action across thousands of securities and translate it into actionable rotation strategies. The patterns we're tracking in materials, real estate, energy, and biotech aren't predictions—they're observable momentum shifts that create advantage for those positioned ahead of the move.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
This week's TEVO swing trading shortlist presents a single high-conviction medium-term reversal long setup in the industrials sector, targeting oversold conditions with improving momentum. The opportunity aligns with our rigorous criteria, featuring a strong historical hit rate for similar configurations. These setups offer potential for 1-4 week swings, emphasizing quality opportunities in a selective market environment.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Aecom (ACM:XNYS) ▲ -8.7 ↑ 103.07 +6.2% 71% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Major indices ended the week largely flat, with the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 showing minimal changes, while small caps in the Russell 2000 lagged notably; among the Magnificent 7, Microsoft and Amazon led gains in technology, but the group as a whole was mixed amid broader rotation. Energy and Materials sectors outperformed via SPDR ETFs, supported by equal-weighted GICS data showing strength in these cyclical areas, whereas Financials and Health Care declined sharply, with the VIX rising to signal increased caution. What this means: The rotation toward commodities suggests investors are positioning for inflation or growth surprises, but weakness in financials points to lingering rate sensitivity; medium-term reversal signals in laggards like Financials could signal upcoming mean-reversion if momentum shifts.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P 500 +0.0%
-0.3%
Russell 1000 -0.0%
-0.4%
Dow Jones -0.6%
-0.5%
Russell 2000 -1.8%
-0.3%
FX
1D WTD GBP/USD +1.0%
+1.9%
EUR/USD +0.6%
+2.0%
USD/CNY -0.1%
-0.1%
US Dollar Index -0.4%
-1.0%
USD/CHF -1.1%
-2.8%
USD/JPY -1.7%
-1.6%
Volatility
1D WTD VIX +2.9%
+1.4%
Crypto
1D WTD Bitcoin -0.3%
-4.8%
US Sector ETFs
1D (%) +0.9% +0.8% +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% +0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -0.8% -1.4% Mag 7
1D WTD MICROSOFT CORP +3.3%
+1.3%
AMAZON INC +2.1%
+0.0%
META PLATFORMS-A +1.7%
+6.2%
NVIDIA CORP +1.5%
+0.8%
TESLA INC -0.1%
+2.6%
APPLE INC -0.1%
-2.9%
ALPHABET INC-A -0.8%
-0.6%
Focus: Russell 1000Top Gainers (WTD)
1D WTD Acadia Healthcar +0.5%
+30.4%
New Fortress Ene +2.4%
+22.5%
Qiagen Nv +2.5%
+16.9%
Top Losers (WTD)
1D WTD Quidelortho Corp -8.1%
-15.4%
Roblox Corp - A -0.8%
-15.1%
Inspire Medical -1.7%
-13.9%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +0.6% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% -0.6% -0.8% -0.9% -1.0% -1.2% -1.4% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Quantmatix signals delivered robust performance last week, with medium- and short-term reversals capturing gains up to 16.9% in names like QIAGEN and QuidelOrtho, affirming our edge in identifying high-probability trades.
Date Profit % QIAGEN NV (QGEN:XNYS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +16.9% QUIDELORTHO CORP (QDEL:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +15.4% ADV MICRO DEVICE (AMD:XNGS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +12.0% CLARIVATE PLC (CLVT:XNYS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +10.1% SUNRUN INC (RUN:XNGS) ▲ Wed, 21 Jan +9.4% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Gold Hits Records, Tech Leads—ASX Navigates Mixed Week
Focus: AustraliaAsia/PacFocus: Australia
Market Close: Fri, 23 January 2026
Weekly Insights
At market close, Australian equities showed resilience in select areas despite a subdued week-to-date performance across major indices. Sector rotation favored cyclical segments like industrials and materials, driven by positive momentum in resource-related themes, while defensive sectors such as staples and utilities encountered headwinds.
Weekly highlights:
- Early-week weakness driven by renewed geopolitical/trade fears (Trump-related headlines) and rate-sensitive sectors like banks pulling back on strong Australian employment figures (boosting RBA hike speculation as early as February).
- Mid-to-late week recovery aligned with Wall Street's relief rally and reduced trade war risks.
- Gold miners were a standout performer as gold prices pushed toward record highs.
- Tech stocks provided key support, highlighted by Life360 surging 27% on Friday after a strong full-year revenue, guidance upgrade.
- Banks and financials weighed overall (profit-taking after prior gains, down notably on Friday).
- Resources/mining mixed (gold up, some base metals/energy softer on oil prices).
- Broader sentiment tempered by expectations of potential RBA caution from resilient data, but offset by global risk-on flows.
Overall risk appetite appeared balanced, with investors positioning for potential mean-reversion amid improving economic signals. This week's analysis highlights high-conviction reversal opportunities, offering strategic insights for navigating ongoing market dynamics. As momentum indicators stabilize, forward-looking setups suggest selective bullish potential in oversold names.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
This week's TEVO swing trade shortlist features two medium-term reversal long setups in consumer discretionary and financials sectors. Both emerged at today's market close, targeting oversold conditions with hit rates of 73-74% and expected swings of 1-4 weeks. These opportunities reflect improving momentum in quality names, providing high-probability entries amid broader market caution.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Temple & Webster Group Ltd (TPW:XASX) ▲ -8.7 ↑ 15.47 +13.6% 73% Asx Ltd (ASX:XASX) ▲ -7.6 ↑ 55.72 +3.5% 74% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Australian indices edged higher on the day but posted modest weekly declines, with the ASX 300 up 0.1% intraday yet down 0.5% week-to-date. Information Technology led daily advances at 2.3%, followed by Materials at 1.6%, while Utilities and Consumer Staples declined over 0.8%; week-to-date, Industrials surged dramatically, contrasting Energy's solid gains against Staples' sharp drop. This cyclical leadership amid index softness points to broadening participation in resource themes. What it means: Investors are rotating into undervalued cyclicals, potentially signaling a risk-on shift, and with fresh reversal signals in laggards, mean-reversion trades could capitalize on the divergence.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P/ASX 300 +0.1%
-0.5%
S&P/ASX 50 INDEX +0.0%
-0.8%
Focus: ASX 300Top Gainers (WTD)
1D WTD Weebit Nano Limited +0.3%
+22.2%
Paladin Energy Ltd -0.4%
+19.8%
Top Losers (WTD)
1D WTD Arb Corporation Limited -3.3%
-18.6%
The A2 Milk Company Limited -2.8%
-12.4%
Austal Limited -2.7%
-12.2%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +2.3% +1.6% +0.7% +0.4% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% -0.5% -0.8% -0.9% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Quantmatix signals shone last week, delivering gains up to 17.7% on short-term reversal longs in technology and energy stocks, alongside profitable medium-term and short positions averaging over 11%, affirming our edge in capturing market turns.
Date Profit % WEEBIT NANO LIMITED (WBT:XASX) ▲ Mon, 19 Jan +17.6% PALADIN ENERGY LTD (PDN:XASX) ▲ Tue, 20 Jan +14.3% LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED (LYC:XASX) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +8.9% GENERATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP LIMITED (GDG:XASX) ▼ Wed, 21 Jan +8.2% GUZMAN Y GOMEZ (HOLDINGS) LTD (GYG:XASX) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +7.3% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Tech & Small Caps Lead—Plus This Week's Top Trade Ideas
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Thu, 22 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US equities demonstrated gains primarily driven by easing geopolitical and trade tensions. President Trump reversed course on proposed tariffs targeting European countries, announcing a framework agreement with NATO involving Greenland (which had previously sparked market sell-offs). This reduced fears of renewed trade disruptions.
Technology and communication services provided leadership, buoyed by strong performances in key mega-cap names, while energy and materials sectors contributed to the positive tone on a week-to-date basis. Small-cap indices outperformed their large-cap counterparts, signaling potential broadening of market participation.
Supporting factors included resilient US economic data, such as upward revisions to prior GDP growth, stable inflation readings (PCE in line with expectations), low jobless claims, and solid consumer spending. Small-cap stocks (Russell 2000 up 0.8%) continued to outperform, hitting new highs amid broader risk-on sentiment.
The VIX (volatility index) declined notably, reflecting a calmer risk environment as investors digested recent economic indicators.
Gold hit fresh all-time highs earlier but saw some pullback. Overall, the session underscores resilient sentiment, with opportunities emerging in cyclical areas as the market navigates ongoing policy uncertainties.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights two long opportunities featuring a Pending Medium-Term Reversal in AECOM and a Pending Medium-Term Top Quantmatix in Tractor Supply, both registered today. These setups target medium-term upside in industrials and consumer discretionary names showing improving momentum. With solid hit rates above 65%, they represent high-probability entries for the 1-4 week horizon.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Aecom (ACM:XNYS) ▲ -8.7 ↑ 103.74 +5.7% 71% Tractor Supply (TSCO:XNGS) ★ -4.9 ↑ 55.44 +3.8% 67% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Technology and communication services led the market higher, with notable strength in mega-caps like Meta Platforms and Tesla, while small caps outperformed large caps and energy gained ground week-to-date. Real estate and utilities lagged, highlighting caution in rate-sensitive sectors, and volatility eased significantly. This rotation toward cyclicals and tech suggests broadening participation and reduced fear, potentially setting up further upside if momentum sustains; pending reversal signals in underperformers like financials could facilitate mean-reversion.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Russell 2000 +0.8%
+1.5%
Dow Jones +0.6%
+0.1%
Russell 1000 +0.6%
-0.3%
S&P 500 +0.6%
-0.4%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD +0.6%
+1.4%
GBP/USD +0.6%
+0.9%
USD/CNY +0.1%
+0.1%
US Dollar Index +0.1%
-0.6%
USD/JPY +0.1%
+0.2%
USD/CHF -0.8%
-1.7%
Volatility
1D WTD VIX -7.5%
-1.4%
Crypto
1D WTD Bitcoin +0.1%
-4.5%
US Sector ETFs
1D (%) +1.4% +1.0% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.3% +0.0% -0.2% -0.5% -0.7% -1.0% Mag 7
1D WTD META PLATFORMS-A +5.7%
+4.4%
TESLA INC +4.2%
+2.7%
MICROSOFT CORP +1.6%
-1.9%
AMAZON INC +1.3%
-2.0%
NVIDIA CORP +0.8%
-0.8%
ALPHABET INC-A +0.7%
+0.2%
APPLE INC +0.3%
-2.8%
Focus: Russell 1000Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Plug Power Inc +16.7%
+9.8%
Gitlab Inc-Cl A +12.8%
+9.6%
Enphase Energy +12.5%
+15.7%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Inspire Medical -16.0%
-12.4%
Abbott Labs -10.0%
-10.8%
Old Repub Intl -9.3%
-9.2%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +1.7% +1.1% +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.0% -0.0% -0.5% -0.7% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals shone last week, delivering gains up to 14.0% on Medium-Term Reversal longs in biotech and energy names, affirming the reliability of Quantmatix's quantitative edge.
Date Profit % QIAGEN NV (QGEN:XNYS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +14.0% PLUG POWER INC (PLUG:XNCM) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +9.8% ADV MICRO DEVICE (AMD:XNGS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +9.4% APPLOVIN CO-CL A (APP:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +8.2% PELOTON INTERA-A (PTON:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +8.2% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Stoxx 600 Up 1% | 3 Swing Trades Targeting +4.7% to +9.9%
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Thu, 22 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European equities posted modest gains amid a backdrop of sector rotation and easing volatility. Investors appeared to favor cyclical sectors as broader market momentum showed signs of stabilization following recent declines.
Markets rebounded strongly after U.S. President Donald Trump backed off his earlier threats to impose fresh tariffs on several European countries (including Germany, France, the UK, Denmark, Sweden, the Netherlands, Norway, and Finland) linked to his push for U.S. control or influence over Greenland. He referenced a "framework agreement" or deal in sight (possibly involving mineral rights or cooperation) and ruled out using force, leading to relief among investors and a reversal of recent trade war jitters.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index rose 1%, marking its best daily performance in nearly two months and snapping a recent losing streak. Broader sentiment improved alongside U.S. markets.
Some Ukraine-exposed stocks (e.g., in materials/construction, airlines, banks like Raiffeisen) rallied sharply on reports of upcoming trilateral peace talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and U.S. officials.
Corporate highlights included strong cash flow from Volkswagen's auto unit boosting shares, and Rheinmetall noting potential huge order intake.
Lingering caution remains over U.S. policy unpredictability, geopolitical risks, and mixed economic signals
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights three compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal and Top Quantmatix setups, all pointing to long opportunities across financials, consumer services, and staples sectors. These positions target oversold conditions with improving momentum, offering 1-4 week horizons backed by solid historical hit rates above 60%. The uniform bullish bias suggests potential for mean-reversion plays in a market rotating towards cyclicals.
Q Target Δ% Hit% 3I Group Plc (III:XLON) ▲ -7.7 ↑ 35.15 +7.4% 78% Edenred (EDEN:XPAR) ★ -7.7 ↑ 20.04 +9.9% 63% Diageo Plc (DGE:XLON) ▲ -6.4 ↑ 17.74 +4.7% 73% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
European benchmarks advanced broadly today, with the Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX leading gains while the FTSE lagged slightly; Materials and Information Technology sectors topped the equal-weighted performance, contrasting Energy's decline despite a sharp rally in natural gas prices. Volatility eased notably as the VSTOXX dropped, and the euro weakened against the dollar. What this means: The rotation into cyclicals signals improving risk sentiment, potentially broadening participation after weekly losses, and aligns with emerging Pending Medium-Term Reversal longs in select names for mean-reversion potential.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Euro Stoxx 50 +1.2%
-1.2%
DAX +1.2%
-1.7%
STOXX 600 +1.0%
-0.9%
CAC 40 +1.0%
-1.3%
FTSE 100 +0.1%
-0.8%
Fixed Income
1D WTD GERMANY GOVT 10Y +0.7%
+1.5%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD -0.4%
+0.7%
Commodities
1D WTD Natural Gas Future ICE +10.4%
+7.2%
Volatility
1D WTD VSTOXX -8.3%
+6.1%
Focus: Stoxx 600Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Computacenter Pl +10.1%
+7.0%
Gerresheimer Ag +9.2%
+7.7%
Raiffeisen Bank +7.0%
+6.3%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Ubisoft Entertai -39.8%
-42.1%
Carl Zeiss Me-Br -16.6%
-25.6%
Essity Aktiebo-B -7.4%
-7.6%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +1.4% +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.1% +0.8% +0.7% +0.2% -0.6% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals delivered robust performance last week, capturing profits up to 16.85% on Short-Term Reversals, including strong long and short trades that highlight Quantmatix's precision in volatile conditions.
Date Profit % WISE PLC - A (WISE:XLON) ▲ Mon, 19 Jan +16.9% QIAGEN NV (QIA:XETR) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +12.5% BKW AG (BKW:XSWX) ▼ Mon, 19 Jan +11.1% OCADO GROUP PLC (OCDO:XLON) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +9.7% TELENOR ASA (TEL:XOSL) ▲ Tue, 20 Jan +7.4% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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US Relief Rally: Tariff Tensions Ease, Cyclicals Surge
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Wed, 21 January 2026
Daily Insights
US markets rebounded strongly on January 21, 2026 (yesterday), following a sharp sell-off the previous day.
The major indices closed higher, driven primarily by relief after President Trump backed off threats of new tariffs on several European NATO allies. This came after he announced a "framework" deal regarding Greenland (an ongoing interest of his) following productive talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. He also ruled out using force for any Greenland-related matters and confirmed the planned February 1 tariffs would not go ahead.
The move eased trade/geopolitical tensions concerns that had weighed on sentiment, with investors cheering the de-escalation in US-Europe relations tied to the Greenland/Arctic discussions. Bond yields eased somewhat, and small-caps especially benefited from the risk-on mood.
Markets appear to have stabilized for now, though ongoing Trump policy signals (including from Davos) remain in focus.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights a single high-conviction Pending Medium-Term Reversal setup in the utilities sector, targeting a multi-week recovery in an oversold name. This long opportunity aligns with improving medium-term momentum indicators, offering a favorable risk-reward profile for patient investors. The setup's strong historical hit rate underscores its potential as a quality entry point amid current sector rotations.
Q Target Δ% Hit% American Water W (AWK:XNYS) ▲ -7.0 ↑ 136.51 +4.2% 76% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Cyclical sectors like energy and materials outperformed decisively today, with the Russell 2000 gaining ground on the S&P 500, while the Magnificent 7 displayed divergence—NVIDIA and Tesla advanced but Microsoft lagged. Volatility plunged as the VIX dropped sharply, and equal-weighted sector data confirmed broad strength in consumer discretionary and industrials. What this means: The rotation signals increasing confidence in economic recovery themes, potentially sustaining upside if pending reversal signals in laggards like the Russell 1000 and select mega-caps confirm mean-reversion plays.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Russell 2000 +2.0%
+0.8%
Dow Jones +1.2%
-0.6%
Russell 1000 +1.2%
-0.9%
S&P 500 +1.2%
-0.9%
FX
1D WTD USD/CHF +0.7%
-0.9%
USD/JPY +0.1%
+0.1%
USD/CNY +0.1%
-0.1%
GBP/USD -0.1%
+0.4%
EUR/USD -0.4%
+0.7%
US Dollar Index -0.8%
-0.8%
Volatility
1D WTD VIX -15.9%
+6.6%
Crypto
1D WTD Bitcoin +2.0%
-3.8%
US Sector ETFs
1D (%) +2.4% +2.2% +1.9% +1.8% +1.7% +1.4% +1.0% +0.5% +0.4% +0.1% +0.1% Mag 7
1D WTD NVIDIA CORP +3.0%
-1.6%
TESLA INC +2.9%
-1.4%
ALPHABET INC-A +2.0%
-0.5%
META PLATFORMS-A +1.5%
-1.2%
APPLE INC +0.4%
-3.1%
AMAZON INC +0.1%
-3.3%
MICROSOFT CORP -2.3%
-3.4%
Focus Index Russell 1000 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Lucid Group Inc +17.9%
+13.3%
Moderna Inc +15.8%
+19.1%
New Fortress Ene +14.8%
+9.2%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Quidelortho Corp -10.1%
-11.4%
Pegasystems Inc ▼
-6.1%
-7.8%
Applovin Co-Cl A -5.8%
-6.4%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +3.5% +2.6% +2.5% +2.2% +1.7% +1.7% +1.4% +0.7% +0.6% +0.3% +0.3% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals delivered strong results last week, with Medium-Term Reversals capturing gains up to 17.0% in names like QIAGEN, while Short-Term Reversals added double-digit profits in several shorts, affirming Quantmatix's edge in volatile conditions.
Date Profit % QIAGEN NV (QGEN:XNYS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +17.0% QUIDELORTHO CORP (QDEL:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +11.4% CLARIVATE PLC (CLVT:XNYS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +11.4% NUTANIX INC - A (NTNX:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +9.1% ADV MICRO DEVICE (AMD:XNGS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +7.8% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Aussie Markets Rise | 2 High-Probability Swing Trades Inside
Focus: AustraliaAsia/PacFocus: Australia
Market Close: Thu, 22 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, Australian equities registered modest gains amid selective sector rotation, with investors showing renewed interest in consumer-driven names while paring exposure to resource-heavy sectors.
This followed Wall Street's strength and easing geopolitical tensions, particularly after US President Trump backed off or moderated threats related to tariffs on European countries (including references to Greenland/Denmark-related issues).
A key local driver was Australia's stronger-than-expected December employment data (released today), which showed a surprise improvement and lowered the unemployment rate. This boosted risk appetite but also increased expectations for a potential Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike in February.
Overall sentiment improved on reduced global trade war fears and solid local macro data, though rate hike risks remain a watch point ahead of upcoming inflation figures and the RBA's February meeting.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights two compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups in the Australian market, both favoring long positions with strong historical hit rates. These opportunities target oversold conditions in financial services and consumer discretionary sectors, offering positive expected value over the next 1-4 weeks. The setups demonstrate robust momentum improvements, positioning them as high-probability entries amid current market rotations.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Aub Group Limited (AUB:XASX) ▲ -6.1 ↑ 33.76 +6.5% 67% Lovisa Holdings Limited (LOV:XASX) ★ -8.3 ↑ 33.04 +6.7% 72% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Australian benchmarks edged higher today, led by the ASX 300 and ASX 50, while consumer discretionary and information technology sectors outperformed, contrasting with sharp declines in materials amid commodity pressures. Gold miners featured prominently among decliners, underscoring a rotation away from resource stocks. What this means: The modest index gains reflect broadening participation beyond resources, signaling cautious optimism, and with pending reversal signals emerging in select names, investors may find mean-reversion plays in laggards as sentiment stabilizes.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P/ASX 50 INDEX +1.0%
-0.8%
S&P/ASX 300 +0.8%
-0.6%
Focus Index ASX 300 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Weebit Nano Limited +13.0%
+21.8%
Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd +10.0%
-0.9%
Premier Investments Limited +9.9%
+5.8%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Pantoro Gold Limited -11.2%
-1.3%
Emerald Resources Nl -8.7%
+6.3%
Northern Star Re -8.4%
-2.4%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +2.0% +1.9% +1.8% +1.7% +1.4% +1.3% +0.9% +0.8% +0.7% +0.5% -2.1% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals continue to deliver strong results, with recent Short-Term Reversal longs capturing gains up to 17.3% and Medium-Term setups adding further wins, underscoring Quantmatix's precision in navigating volatile markets.
Date Profit % WEEBIT NANO LIMITED (WBT:XASX) ▲ Mon, 19 Jan +17.2% PALADIN ENERGY LTD (PDN:XASX) ▲ Tue, 20 Jan +14.8% LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED (LYC:XASX) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +8.2% CATAPULT SPORTS LTD (CAT:XASX) ▼ Mon, 19 Jan +7.9% RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED (RWC:XASX) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +7.7% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Europe Steadies After Trump's Greenland Olive Branch
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Wed, 21 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European markets presented a mixed picture amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting commodity dynamics.
The main driver was President Trump's statement on a Greenland deal framework, which calmed nerves after Tuesday's widespread selloff (with luxury, autos, and banks hit hard by tariff worries). This led to a rebound in global shares, including Europe, though the European Parliament's suspension of work on a U.S. trade deal added lingering uncertainty. Bond markets remained under pressure from earlier yield spikes, but equities found some footing.
Overall, it was a stabilization day rather than a strong rally, with investors watching Davos discussions and any further U.S.-Europe developments closely. Sectors like luxury and select cyclicals showed resilience in places, while broader risk-off sentiment from earlier in the week lingered.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
There are no swing trading opportunities to report today. The TEVO methodology applies rigorous filtering criteria to identify only the highest-probability setups, and current market conditions have not produced candidates meeting these thresholds. This is a normal occurrence that reflects the system's commitment to quality over quantity.
Market Movements
European indices traded mixed, with the CAC 40 edging higher while the DAX lagged, and the Stoxx 600 remaining nearly flat; materials led sectoral gains decisively, followed by energy and technology, as real estate and financials trailed. The euro strengthened notably against the dollar, natural gas futures advanced, and the VSTOXX declined sharply, signaling easing volatility concerns. What this means: The rotation into commodities points to hedging against inflationary pressures, but the divergence in benchmarks suggests uneven risk appetite across the region, potentially amplified by pending medium-term reversal signals in standout movers like Edenred and Verallia.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD FTSE 100 +0.1%
-0.9%
CAC 40 +0.1%
-2.3%
Stoxx 600 -0.0%
-1.9%
Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2%
-2.4%
DAX Index -0.6%
-2.9%
Fixed Income
1D WTD GERMANY GOVT 10Y +0.7%
+0.8%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD +0.7%
+1.1%
Commodities
1D WTD Natural Gas Future ICE +2.2%
-2.9%
Volatility
1D WTD VSTOXX -6.3%
+15.6%
Focus Index Stoxx 600 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Aixtron Se +11.2%
+6.0%
Edenred ▲
+10.5%
+7.9%
Imcd Nv +6.3%
+0.6%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Danone -8.4%
-10.7%
Experian Plc -4.9%
-6.9%
Verallia ▼
-4.8%
-7.0%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +2.0% +1.1% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.4% +0.2% +0.0% -0.2% -0.2% -0.5% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Quantmatix signals proved highly effective last week, delivering profits up to 17.6% on short-term and medium-term reversals across longs and shorts in diverse European names.
Date Profit % WISE PLC - A (WISE:XLON) ▲ Mon, 19 Jan +17.6% QIAGEN NV (QIA:XETR) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +12.8% BKW AG (BKW:XSWX) ▼ Mon, 19 Jan +10.8% NEMETSCHEK SE (NEM:XETR) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +10.3% OCADO GROUP PLC (OCDO:XLON) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +6.9% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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S&P 500 Erases 2026 Gains as Tariff Fears Trigger Risk-Off
Focus: USNorth AmericaFocus: US
Market Close: Tue, 20 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US markets experienced broad-based declines amid a surge in volatility, signaling heightened investor caution. Mega-cap technology stocks, including key members of the Magnificent 7, weighed heavily on major indices like the S&P 500 and Russell 1000.
The sell-off was triggered by President Donald Trump's escalation over Greenland, where he threatened escalating tariffs on imports from several European NATO allies (including Denmark, Germany, France, the UK, Norway, Sweden, Finland, and the Netherlands) unless they support U.S. efforts to acquire or take control of the territory. Tariffs were set to begin at 10% on February 1 and rise to 25% on June 1.
This sparked broad risk aversion, with investors shifting toward safe-haven assets amid fears of a renewed trade conflict reminiscent of earlier disruptions.
Tech and growth stocks led the declines, with heavy selling in semiconductors and large-cap names (Nvidia, Broadcom, and others down significantly). Cyclical sectors and industrials also weighed on performance, amplified by some company-specific news like weaker guidance from names in the industrial space.
Defensive sectors such as Consumer Staples demonstrated relative strength, hinting at a rotation toward safer assets. Cross-asset moves showed a weakening dollar against the euro, while cryptocurrencies mirrored equity weakness. This setup reflects ongoing risk aversion as participants position for potential economic shifts ahead.
The moves erased early 2026 gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, flipping them negative year-to-date at the close.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist features three Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setups concentrated in the Consumer Staples sector. These opportunities target oversold conditions with advancing medium-term momentum, positioning for potential 1-4 week swings. The configurations exhibit solid hit rates, emphasizing high-probability entries amid current market rotations.
Q Target Δ% Hit% American Water W (AWK:XNYS) ▲ -7.0 ↑ 136.81 +4.1% 76% Kimberly-Clark (KMB:XNYS) ▲ -8.3 ↑ 106.73 +5.2% 67% Jm Smucker Co (SJM:XNYS) ▲ -7.6 ↑ 107.56 +4.2% 67% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Major US indices posted sharp losses, with the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 both declining over 2%, driven by weakness in the Magnificent 7 where names like NVIDIA and TESLA fell more than 4%; meanwhile, the VIX spiked dramatically, underscoring rising uncertainty. Consumer Staples led with modest gains, while sectors like Consumer Discretionary and Information Technology lagged significantly, as seen in equal-weighted GICS performance. Standout individual movers included Health Care names surging ahead, contrasting with steep drops in Communication Services and tech-adjacent stocks. This risk-off rotation into defensives suggests investors are hedging against volatility, and with Pending Medium-Term Reversal signals emerging in some underperformers, mean-reversion plays could gain traction if broader sentiment stabilizes.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Russell 2000 -1.2%
-1.2%
Dow Jones -1.8%
-1.8%
Russell 1000 -2.0%
-2.0%
S&P 500 -2.1%
-2.1%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD +0.7%
+1.1%
GBP/USD +0.1%
+0.5%
USD/JPY +0.0%
-0.0%
US Dollar Index 0.0%
0.0%
USD/CNY -0.1%
-0.1%
USD/CHF -0.9%
-1.6%
Volatility
1D WTD VIX +26.7%
+26.7%
Crypto
1D WTD Bitcoin -3.2%
-4.3%
US Sector ETFs
1D (%) +0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -1.0% -1.0% -1.5% -1.9% -2.0% -2.3% -2.6% -2.6% Mag 7
1D WTD MICROSOFT CORP -1.2%
-1.2%
ALPHABET INC-A -2.4%
-2.4%
META PLATFORMS-A -2.6%
-2.6%
AMAZON INC -3.4%
-3.4%
APPLE INC -3.5%
-3.5%
TESLA INC -4.2%
-4.2%
NVIDIA CORP -4.4%
-4.4%
Focus Index Russell 1000 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Acadia Healthcar +21.9%
+21.9%
Qiagen Nv +16.6%
+16.6%
Lumentum Hol +10.1%
+10.1%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Roblox Corp - A ▲
-9.7%
-9.7%
Netapp Inc -9.4%
-9.4%
Viasat Inc -8.8%
-8.8%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +0.7% -0.3% -0.3% -1.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.8% -1.8% -2.2% -2.3% -2.4% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals shone last week, with Medium-Term and Short-Term Reversals delivering gains up to 16.6% on longs and shorts, highlighting Quantmatix's edge in capturing timely market moves.
Date Profit % QIAGEN NV (QGEN:XNYS) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +16.6% CLARIVATE PLC (CLVT:XNYS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +7.9% PELOTON INTERA-A (PTON:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +7.4% TRIMBLE INC (TRMB:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +5.8% NUTANIX INC - A (NTNX:XNGS) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +5.5% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Aussie Markets Dip as Banks Drag, Gold Miners Shine
Focus: AustraliaAsia/PacFocus: Australia
Market Close: Wed, 21 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, Australian equities experienced a modest pullback amid mixed sector performances, with broader indices reflecting cautious sentiment following recent volatility. Sector rotation favored cyclical areas like materials and energy, suggesting underlying resilience in commodity-linked names despite global uncertainties.
Sector performance was mixed:
- Financials ( banks like Commonwealth Bank) were a major drag, amid ongoing concerns about prolonged higher interest rates pressuring margins ahead of earnings season and RBA decisions.
- Tech and consumer discretionary sectors also weakened significantly.
- Materials (resources/mining) provided some support and rose, driven by strength in gold miners (benefiting from the gold rally and safe-haven demand) and other commodities. The sector hit record highs in parts, limiting overall index losses.
- Miners like Rio Tinto gained on strong production updates, while gold-related names (Evolution Mining hitting all-time highs) performed well.
Overall, the session underscored a balanced risk appetite, with investors navigating macroeconomic headwinds while eyeing potential mean-reversion plays. This dynamic positions the market for continued vigilance in the days ahead.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights two compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups in the Australian market, both targeting long positions with strong historical hit rates. These opportunities emerge in financial services and health care, capitalizing on oversold conditions and advancing medium-term momentum. The setups suggest high-probability entries for the 1-4 week horizon, aligning with the methodology's focus on quality mean-reversion candidates.
Q Target Δ% Hit% Asx Ltd (ASX:XASX) ▲ -7.6 ↑ 55.44 +3.8% 74% Medibank Private (MPL:XASX) ▲ -4.7 ↑ 4.89 +4.0% 67% TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Australian indices edged lower today, with the S&P/ASX 300 and S&P/ASX 50 both declining modestly, while materials led gains across equal-weighted sectors, followed by energy and industrials; technology and consumer discretionary lagged notably.
Week-to-date, industrials have surged dramatically, contrasting with declines in consumer staples and health care. What this means: The rotation into cyclicals signals sustained commodity strength supporting risk assets, though the broad market dip hints at profit-taking; with pending reversal signals in key laggards, mean-reversion potential could broaden participation if momentum holds.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD S&P/ASX 300 -0.4%
-1.3%
S&P/ASX 50 INDEX -0.6%
-1.8%
Focus Index ASX 300 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Emerald Resources Nl +13.2%
+16.4%
Paladin Energy Ltd +13.1%
+18.5%
Ioneer Ltd +12.2%
+2.2%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Droneshield Limited -8.9%
-1.8%
Hmc Capital Limited -6.5%
-9.2%
Web Travel Group Limited -6.5%
-9.2%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +2.4% +1.3% +0.9% +0.2% -0.6% -0.9% -0.9% -1.0% -1.4% -1.7% -2.3% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals continue to deliver strong results, with recent Short-Term and Medium-Term Reversals generating profits up to 8.9% over the past week, underscoring Quantmatix's precision in capturing market moves.
Date Profit % RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED (RWC:XASX) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +8.9% GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED (GTK:XASX) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +6.1% CATAPULT SPORTS LTD (CAT:XASX) ▼ Mon, 19 Jan +5.6% LYNAS RARE EARTHS LIMITED (LYC:XASX) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +5.1% IMMUTEP LIMITED (IMM.AX) ▼ Mon, 19 Jan +4.7% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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Europe Retreats as Tariff Fears Mount
Focus: EuropeEuropeFocus: Europe
Market Close: Tue, 20 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, European markets extended their recent pullback, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The main driver was US President Trump's renewed threats to impose tariffs on European countries (including a specific 200% tariff warning on French wines and champagne) in connection with disputes over his push to acquire Greenland, France's response to related diplomatic initiatives, and criticism of the UK's Chagos Islands decision. This sparked risk-off sentiment, with luxury goods, automakers, banks, and other export-sensitive sectors hit hardest.
On the positive side, ASML Holding rose1.75% after analyst upgrades to the European semiconductors sector.
Overall, this marks a continuation of a pullback following recent record highs earlier in January, with the sell-off described as precautionary profit-taking and risk reduction. The euro strengthened slightly against the dollar, while global equities also saw broad declines.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
There are no swing trading opportunities to report today. The TEVO methodology applies rigorous filtering criteria to identify only the highest-probability setups, and current market conditions have not produced candidates meeting these thresholds. This is a normal occurrence that reflects the system's commitment to quality over quantity.
Market Movements
European benchmarks like the DAX and Stoxx 600 declined around 1%, with broad-based weakness across most sectors except Energy, which eked out modest gains amid softer natural gas prices. Real Estate and Utilities lagged sharply, while the euro advanced against the dollar and VSTOXX volatility spiked notably week-to-date. Individual standouts included sharp rallies in select financial and biotech names, contrasting the overall downtrend. What this means: The action points to risk aversion dominating, with investors rotating away from rate-sensitive areas as yields ticked higher; however, pending reversal signals in top performers suggest potential mean-reversion plays if momentum shifts.
Market SnapshotEquities
1D WTD Euro Stoxx 50 -0.6%
-2.3%
CAC 40 -0.6%
-2.4%
FTSE 100 -0.7%
-1.1%
STOXX 600 -0.7%
-1.9%
DAX -1.0%
-2.4%
Fixed Income
1D WTD German 10Y Bund +0.1%
+0.1%
FX
1D WTD EUR/USD +0.4%
+0.4%
Commodities
1D WTD Natural Gas Future ICE -5.0%
-5.0%
Volatility
1D WTD VSTOXX +0.1%
+23.4%
Focus Index Stoxx 600 Top Gainers (1-Day)
1D WTD Wise Plc - A ▲
+16.0%
+16.2%
Qiagen Nv +12.4%
+7.6%
Oci Nv +7.7%
+10.3%
Top Losers (1-Day)
1D WTD Bkw Ag -12.9%
-14.3%
Carl Zeiss Me-Br -5.5%
-10.1%
Nemetschek Se -5.0%
-8.3%
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
1D (%) +0.2% -0.1% -0.2% -0.6% -0.7% -0.8% -0.8% -0.9% -1.0% -1.8% -1.9% Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
Our signals delivered robust performance last week, with Medium-Term Reversal shorts and longs capturing gains up to 8.3% since Friday's triggers, highlighting Quantmatix's edge in volatile conditions.
Date Profit % NEMETSCHEK SE (NEM:XETR) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +8.3% QIAGEN NV (QIA:XETR) ▲ Fri, 16 Jan +7.6% ORSTED A/S (ORSTED:XCSE) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +6.9% STORA ENSO OYJ-R (STERV:XHEL) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +6.5% CAPGEMINI SE (CAP:XPAR) ▼ Fri, 16 Jan +5.9% Key Short-term signals ▲ Short-T DR ★ Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals ▲ Medium-T DR ★ Medium-T TopQ ▲ Pending Medium-T DR ★ Pending Medium-T TopQ Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.