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Quantmatix · Institutional Research
US Sector Research Note — Surge Accelerates to 261 Deep Positive Reversals; Consumer Discretionary Signal Surge to 5 Top Q; Super Bowl Wednesday Ahead
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Executive Summary
The Quantmatix Bullish Inflection Surge is accelerating. Deep Positive Reversals increased from 253 to 261 this session — confirmation the large-scale mobilisation of stocks from deeply negative Q Score territory into Positive reversal direction is broadening, not stalling. SPX printed 7,165.1 (Q Score −3.0, QChg +1.14), maintaining Positive direction and holding above the Lower Q Band at 7,135.
Information Technology leads breadth at 80.6% advancing, followed by Financials at 80.3%. The session's most significant structural development is Consumer Discretionary, where Top Q Positive signals have surged from 2 to 5 names — a sector-level broadening event. All seven MAG7 components carry Positive direction heading into the biggest earnings catalyst of the year.
Market Context
· Wednesday 29 April = "Wall Street's Super Bowl" — GOOG, AMZN, META and MSFT report alongside Powell's final Fed press conference as FOMC Chair
· NVIDIA returned to all-time highs (+4.3%) — structural bull framework confirmation
· Healthcare (XLV) lags −1.4% on sub-sector pressures; individual TQP/TEVO signals remain intact. DHR $172.5M settlement clears primary legal overhang
· Consumer Discretionary TQP surge (5 active) aligns with improving consumer spending data and easing energy cost pressures
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S&P 500 (SPX) — Index Snapshot · 24 Apr Close
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−3.0
Q Score
Positive · +1.14 ↑
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7,165
Close
Q Band Lower: 7,135
64.8%
Breadth
1,278 / 1,971 Positive
1,216
Advancing
625 Declining
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Portfolio Positioning — Actionable Framework
| Sector |
Positioning |
% Pos |
Avg QChg |
DPR |
TQP · TEVO |
HSR |
Key Signals |
| Information Technology |
Max OW |
80.6% |
+0.59 |
69 |
1 · 6 |
3 |
CTSH earn 29 Apr · QLYS · SOUN · MDB · BLKB |
Financials |
80.3% |
+0.60 |
63 |
1 · 3 |
2 |
VRTS · WAL · FBK · XLF/KBE ETF preferred |
Consumer Disc SURGE |
OW ↑ |
71.7% |
+0.44 |
24 |
5 · 1 |
1 |
PLNT · YETI · AEO (avoid F/BC — earn imm.) |
Health Care |
OW |
60.5% |
+0.24 |
42 |
7 · 5 |
11 |
DHR (SL watch) · GRAL · NTRA · PGNY · ISRG |
| Industrials |
Neutral+ |
62.4% |
+0.20 |
20 |
1 · 2 |
HEI (TEVO, EV 12.1%) — primary long |
Comm Services |
Neutral |
67.1% |
11 |
0 · 0 |
3 |
No structural signals. IRDM HSR — reduce. |
Real Estate |
51.4% |
+0.07 |
13 |
2 · 0 |
0 |
REXR (TQP) · WY (TQP) — monitor |
| Materials |
UW |
44.7% |
−0.08 |
1 · 1 |
4 |
MLM only notable signal |
Consumer Staples |
32.4% |
−0.42 |
No signals. Structural decline. Reduce. |
| Energy |
Max UW |
32.3% |
−0.26 |
17 |
Avg QScore +4.57 declining. Exit all. |
Utilities |
Max UW |
30.9% |
−0.30 |
2 |
0 · 0 |
10 |
AWK earn 29 Apr — EXIT TODAY. DTE earn 30 Apr. |
Key Sector Signals — Detailed
Information Technology Max Overweight
1 TQP · 6 TEVO · 69 DPR · XLK +2.7% · NVDA ATH
| QLYS TEVO — Primary IT long |
Q −7.4 · +0.14 · $84.34 · T1 $98.19 · 72% · EV +9.6% · Earn 5 May ✓ |
CTSH TEVO — Half-weight max  |
Q −9.3 · −0.14 · $55.11 · SL1 $54.31 ($0.80 away) · EV +10.9% · Earn 29 Apr  |
MDB Top Q · SOUN TEVO · BLKB TEVO  |
MDB: Q −8.7 EV +3.2% · SOUN: EV +4.1% · BLKB earn 29 Apr  |
Reduce: NTCT HSR +9.1 · UI HSR +9.0 |
Exit despite sector strength |
Financials Max Overweight
1 TQP · 3 TEVO · 63 DPR · 80.3% advancing · XLF/KBE ETF primary vehicle
VRTS TEVO — Highest EV in sector |
Q −6.9 · +0.86 · $143.14 · T1 $149.75 · 73% · EV +0.4% · Earn 1 May |
WAL TEVO — Strong momentum |
Q −4.1 · QChg +1.14 · $79.44 · T1 $83.26 · 75% |
FBK Top Q — Strongest QChg in sector |
Q −4.0 · QChg +1.71 · $53.58 · Long earnings runway Jul |
VIRT HSR +8.7 — EXIT TODAY |
QChg −0.43 · $48.53 · Earns 29 Apr  |
Consumer Discretionary SIGNAL SURGE — TQP 2 → 5 Overweight ↑
Sector-level broadening event · 71.7% advancing · 24 DPR
| PLNT TEVO — Primary vehicle |
Q −9.4 · 0.00 · $69.62 · T1 $77.30 · 79% · EV +8.0% · Earn 7 May |
YETI Top Q — Strongest QChg in cohort |
Q −6.1 · QChg +1.43 · $39.96 · T1 $42.60 · 74% · EV +1.6% · Earn 7 May |
| AEO Top Q — Safe earnings window |
Q −8.1 · +0.71 · $17.91 · T1 $20.03 · 56% · EV +0.2% · Earn 28 May ✓ |
Avoid F (earn 29 Apr) · BC (earn 30 Apr) |
Binary risk — wait for post-results confirmation |
Reduce: TPH HSR +8.7 |
QChg −0.57 — reduce on any strength |
Health Care Overweight 7 TQP · 5 TEVO · 42 DPR · XLV −1.4% — sector soft, signals intact
DHR TEVO — Watch SL  |
Q −8.4 · 0.00 · $177.25 · T1 $204.37 · 79% · SL1 $176.11 ($1.14 away) · EV +12.0% |
GRAL Top Q — Directional only (~18m data) |
Q −8.6 · +0.57 · $54.42 · Earn 5 May |
NTRA Top Q — Strong momentum |
Q −6.0 · QChg +1.14 · $203.75 · T1 $221.56 · 75% · EV +3.2% · Earn 7 May |
PGNY · ISRG TEVO |
PGNY: EV +4.3% earn 7 May · ISRG: EV +2.2% earn Jul |
ANIK HSR +9.0 — EXIT TODAY |
QChg −0.43 · $15.37 · Earn 29 Apr  |
BCRX Top Q Neg +8.7 · LXRX Top Q Neg |
BCRX: immediate exit · earn 6 May. LXRX: exit |
Reduce: MASI HSR +9.1 |
$178.63 — reduce on any strength |
Industrials Neutral / Positive
HEI TEVO — Anchor long |
Q −8.9 · 0.00 · $264.04 · T1 $309.56 · 73% · SL1 $256.71 · EV +12.1% · Earn 26 May |
Reduce: BW HSR +8.4 |
QChg −0.57 — reduce |
Energy & Utilities — Max Underweight · Exit All
| AWK Top Q Neg +4.1 — EXIT TODAY |
Earns TOMORROW 29 Apr · exit immediately |
DTE Top Q Neg +6.6 — EXIT TODAY |
QChg −0.86 · Earns 30 Apr · exit today |
| AEE Top Q Neg +7.1 · WEC Top Q Neg +6.0 |
Both earn 5 May · exit · XLU/IDU ETFs exit all |
IRDM HSR +9.0 |
QChg −0.57 · $38.96 — reduce on any bounce |
Energy: avg QScore +4.57 / avg QChg −0.26. Fading Bull Momentum confirmed. 17 HSR — the most concentrated exhaustion cluster in the tape. No reversal signals active. Exit all Energy without exception. |
Bullish Inflection Surge — Accelerating
A large-scale mobilisation of stocks from Q Score −4 to −10 turning Positive in reversal direction. When DPR counts increase session-over-session (253 → 261), backtesting confirms this is the highest-confidence scaling signal. 549.5% 10Y return vs 221.9% benchmark, Profit Factor 2.1, avg win +16–18% vs avg loss −8%, Sharpe 1.01–1.19.
261
↑ from 253
Deep Positive Reversals
19
↑ from 16
Top Q Positive
18
Swing EV signals
TEVO Signals
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549.5%
vs 221.9% benchmark
10-Year Return
Magnificent Seven — All Positive Direction · Hold Into Super Bowl Wednesday 29 Apr
| Ticker |
Name |
Q Score |
Q Chg |
Px Change |
Earnings |
NVDA  |
NVIDIA Corp. |
−1.4 |
+1.43 |
+4.3% |
20 May |
GOOG |
Alphabet Inc. |
−1.6 |
+1.4% |
29 Apr  |
AMZN |
Amazon.com, Inc. |
−1.7 |
+1.71 |
+3.4% |
AAPL |
Apple Inc. |
−2.0 |
+0.43 |
−0.9% |
30 Apr  |
META |
Meta Platforms |
−2.3 |
+1.14 |
+2.4% |
TSLA |
Tesla, Inc. |
−5.3 |
+0.86 |
+0.7% |
22 Jul |
MSFT  |
Microsoft Corp. |
−6.3 |
+0.71 |
+2.1% |
29 Apr  |
All 7 MAG7 carry Positive direction. NVDA's return to all-time highs is the key structural bull confirmation. MSFT (Q Score −6.3, deepest in MAG7) has the most recovery runway and is up +2.1%. Quantmatix signals no exit for any MAG7 name. Hold all positions.
Top 5 Highest-Conviction Stocks — Ranked by Signal Hierarchy then EV
Sig |
QChg |
Close |
T1 · HR |
SL1 |
EV |
Earn · Action |
TEVO |
HEI |
Industrials |
−8.9 |
0.00 |
$264.04 |
$309.56 · 73% |
$256.71 |
+12.1% |
26 May · Hold · Anchor |
DHR |
Health Care |
−8.4 |
$177.25 |
$204.37 · 79% |
$176.11  |
+12.0% |
28 Jul · Hold · Hard Stop $176 |
| CTSH |
IT |
−9.3 |
−0.14 |
$55.11 |
$64.75 · 64% |
$54.31  |
+10.9% |
29 Apr · Half-weight · Wait post-earn |
QLYS |
−7.4 |
+0.14 |
$84.34 |
$98.19 · 72% |
$74.24 |
+9.6% |
5 May · Hold · Primary IT |
TEVO |
PLNT |
Consumer Disc |
−9.4 |
0.00 |
$69.62 |
$77.30 · 79% |
$65.43 |
+8.0% |
7 May · Hold · Sector surge |
Priority Exits — Today
Signal |
Ticker |
Sector |
Q Score |
Reason · Action |
Top Q Neg |
AWK |
Utilities |
+4.1 |
Earns TOMORROW 29 Apr — EXIT TODAY |
| HSR |
ANIK |
Health Care |
+9.0 |
VIRT |
Financials |
+8.7 |
Top Q Neg |
DTE |
Utilities |
+6.6 |
Earns 30 Apr — EXIT TODAY |
Imperative — Tactical Call to Action · 27 April 2026
1
Exit AWK, ANIK, VIRT and DTE before today's close — all report tomorrow or Wednesday. AWK (Top Q Neg, earn 29 Apr), ANIK (HSR +9.0, earn 29 Apr), VIRT (HSR +8.7, earn 29 Apr) and DTE (Top Q Neg, earn 30 Apr) all carry exhaustion signals going into binary events. Holding any of these with a Quantmatix exit signal active is an avoidable and unnecessary risk. No exceptions.
2
Scale Consumer Discretionary exposure — sector TQP signals surged from 2 to 5. This is the session's most significant structural signal development. Add to PLNT (TEVO, EV +8.0%) as the primary vehicle. Supplement with YETI (TQP, QChg +1.43) and AEO (TQP, safe earnings window 28 May). Avoid F (earns today/tomorrow) and BC (earns 30 Apr). A 5-TQP cluster in a single sector is a high-conviction breadth broadening signal that warrants increased allocation.
3
Reduce CTSH to half-weight maximum — EV +10.9% but earnings binary risk tomorrow. The signal is compelling (Q Score −9.3, deepest in IT) but SL1 at $54.31 is $0.80 away from current price. A miss tomorrow triggers the stop automatically. For new IT exposure, QLYS (EV +9.6%, earn 5 May) is the cleaner alternative. Both DHR (SL1 $176.11, $1.14 away) and CTSH require active position management today before the close.
4
Hold all 7 MAG7 positions into Super Bowl Wednesday (29 Apr) — no pre-emptive exits. GOOG, AMZN, META and MSFT all report Wednesday alongside Powell's final FOMC press conference. All four carry Positive direction with positive QChg. NVDA has confirmed the bull framework by returning to all-time highs (+4.3%). MSFT (Q Score −6.3, deepest in MAG7) has the greatest recovery runway. The Quantmatix framework signals no exit on any MAG7 name.
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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.
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