Quantmatix Research - April 17, 2026

Sector Diversifiers

Magnificent Seven — All 7 Advancing · First Time This Cycle

MAGS ETF Q Score −5.86 (+1.57 Change) · Close $65.31 (+6.82%) · T1 $66.98 at 83% hit rate · Q Band $54.25. TSLA is the only MAGS name with Top Q Positive confirmation — the framework's highest-conviction large-cap expression ahead of 22 April earnings.

Sector Regime Dashboard — 17 April 2026

Reduce / Exit

TW — Tradeweb · Financials · Top Q Negative

Q +8.14 · −0.71 Declining · Close $121.96 · T1 downside $115.20 · 35% HR · Stop $133.13 · Earnings 29 Apr ⚠

Top Q Negative confirmation — reduce position ahead of earnings catalyst.

Energy HSNR Cluster — 17 Names · Reduce on Strength

Q Score ≥ +7 · Last Reversal Negative · Most concentrated exhaustion cluster in dataset

COP · LNG · CVX · VLO · PSX · DVN · APA · PBF · CTRA · PTEN · NE · PUMP · GPRE · TDW · TALO · EGY · CLMT

Quantmatix Research

Broad Positive Accumulation — Health Care Leads,
Software & Diversified Financials Surge, Energy Exhausts

Friday 17 April, 2026

Prepared by: Liam Boggan, CEO & Founder, Head of Research

Executive Summary

The signal cluster is decisively positive. SPX closed at 7,041.28 (+3.29%) with Q Score −4.14 (+0.71 Change, Positive direction), pressing the Weekly Upper Band at 7,071.06. The broad accumulation footprint is the most expansive of the cycle: 12 Top Q Positive · 32 TEVO · 160 Deep Positive Delta Reversals · all seven MAGS names simultaneously Advancing for the first time this cycle.

Health Care is the highest-conviction long sector. Software & Services (81.1% Advancing) and Diversified Financials (78% Advancing) are Bullish Inflection Surges. Energy is the cleanest exhaustion signal — 17 High Score Negative Reversals. The index targets T1 7,155.70 (75% hit rate) and T2 7,226.11 (59%), with Stop at 6,562.31 (9%) — a highly asymmetric risk-reward configuration.

SPX Velocity Structure & Key Levels

Metric Value Distance Note
Close 7,041.28 +3.29% Q −4.14 (+0.71) · Positive ↑ Upper Band (Weekly) 7,071.06 +0.42% Proximate resistance Target 1 7,155.70 +1.63% Hit Rate 75% — primary objective Target 2 7,226.11 +2.63% Hit Rate 59% Mean Band (Weekly) 6,673.93 −5.22% Primary risk anchor on reversal Stop 1 6,562.31 −6.80% Hit Rate 9% — asymmetric risk-reward Lower Band (Weekly) 6,276.80 −10.86% Downside structural support

Top 5 Highest-Conviction Stocks

Ranked by Expected Value = (T1 hit rate × upside%) − (SL1 hit rate × downside%) · ★ = Top Q Positive

# Name Score · Chg T1 · HR · Upside Q Band EV · Earnings 1 VERI ★ TEVO
Veritone · IT / Software		 −6.00 · +1.00 $2.71 · 63% · +28.6% $1.60 +10.0%
14 May		 2 CVCO TEVO
Cavco Industries · Cons Disc / Durables		 −6.14 · 0.00 $567.15 · 71% · +12.7% $430.54 +6.9%
28 May		 3 CSGP TEVO
CoStar Group · Real Estate		 −9.14 · +0.71 $44.29 · 74% · +10.6% $34.53 +5.4%
28 Apr ⚠		 4 HEI/A TEVO
HEICO · Industrials / A&D		 −9.29 · +0.14 $234.68 · 76% · +8.6% $194.57 +5.4%
27 May		 5 CRNX ★ Top Q
Crinetics Pharma · Health Care / Biotech		 −8.29 · +0.71 $42.50 · 82% · +8.9% $31.90 +4.8%
07 May		 ARES TEVO
Ares Management · Financials / Div Fin		 −8.71 · +0.86 $125.25 · 80% · +7.8% EV +4.5% · 01 May TSLA ★ Top Q
Tesla · Cons Disc / MAGS		 −6.14 · +0.86 $420.47 · 79% · +8.1% EV +3.9% · 22 Apr ⚠ Q Score · Chg Close Session Signal MSFT −7.00 · +1.00 $420.26 +13.32% Positive ▲ · Deepest score TSLA ★ −6.14 · +0.86 $388.90 +11.45% Top Q Positive ★ META −3.71 · +0.86 $676.87 +7.46% Positive ▲ GOOGL −3.00 · +1.00 $332.77 +5.40% NVDA −2.86 · +0.86 $198.35 +5.15% AMZN −3.43 · +1.71 $249.70 +4.75% Positive ▲ · Leads on Change AAPL −2.43 · +0.14 $263.40 +1.12% Positive ▲ · Weakest Change State Sector / Industry Adv% Action
Bullish Inflection Surge Software · Div Financials · Media 81% / 78% / 73% Max Overweight — stock level Positive / Overweight Health Care · IT Hardware · Insurance · Banks 57% / 67% / 64% / 63% Overweight — stock selection Neutral Semis · Consumer Services · Comm Services 68% / 64% / 69% Hold — selective TEVO only
Most Mature / Exhaustion Energy · Utilities 17% / 42% Reduce on strength Negative / Underweight Industrials · Real Estate · Materials 35% / 33% / 28% Underweight — single name only
Most Negative / Max Underweight Food Bev & Tobacco · HHPP · Capital Goods 14% / 25% / 29% Max Underweight — no longs

Imperative

1 — Build the core long book around the Top 5

VERI, CVCO, CSGP, HEI/A, CRNX span five non-overlapping sectors. VERI leads at +10.0% EV with dual Top Q + TEVO confirmation. CRNX carries the highest T1 probability at 82%. Position size against Q Band support on each name.

2 — Diversify with ARES and TSLA

ARES (80% T1 hit, EV +4.5%) extends into the Diversified Financials Surge without crowding the Top 5. TSLA is the sole MAGS expression with Top Q Positive confirmation — the cleanest MAG7 long ahead of 22 April earnings. Size TSLA smaller into the catalyst.

3 — Reduce the Energy HSNR cluster and TW

17 HSNR names in Energy plus TW Top Q Negative (35% downside-T1 probability). Reduce equity exposure into strength — the framework does not support adding at these levels.

4 — Manage earnings risk — CSGP 28 Apr · TSLA 22 Apr

Both sit in the Top 7 long book. Trim size into the print; re-add on post-earnings Q Score confirmation. SPX T1 at 7,155.70 (75%) remains the index anchor.

Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.

Source: Quantmatix – Proprietary US Market Data Analysis

Friday 17 April, 2026