US Weekly Market Insights & Ideas
US equities posted weekly losses for the week ending November 8, 2025, driven by a sharp tech selloff amid AI valuation concerns and a prolonged government shutdown that eroded sentiment and delayed key economic data.
Tech Rout: Worst since April, led by the Mag7 (e.g., Nvidia -9.5%, Meta/Microsoft -4%). This was triggered by scrutiny on unsustainable AI spending and stretched valuations. Russell 1000 Growth underperformed Value by 2.8%.
Government Shutdown: Longest on record delayed October jobs/inflation reports, fueled GDP fears, and contributed to flight reductions (e.g., FAA staffing issues).
Economic Data: Consumer sentiment plunged to 50.3 (lowest since 2022); mixed signals with ADP adding 42k jobs but 153k cuts announced, services PMI at 52.4% (expansion), manufacturing at 48.7% (contraction), and inflation expectations rising to 4.7%. Strong Q3 earnings (82% EPS beats) provided limited offset.
Swing Trading Ideas (1-4 Weeks)
- WINGSTOP INC (WING) Target 1 275.54 (15.6%) Hit Rate 85%
- Rubrik Inc (RBRK)Target 1 83.03 (13.7%) Hit Rate 67%
- Old Dominion (ODFL)Target 1 150.67 (7.7%) Hit Rate 73%
- Inspire Medical (INSP) Target 1 92.85 (13.5%) Hit Rate 68%
- Air Canada (INSP) Target 1 19.4 (4.18%) Hit Rate 63%
- Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc (TARS) Target 1 60.89 (-10.57%) Hit Rate 75%
- Plug Power (PLUG) Target 1 2.03 (-23%) Hit Rate 64%
- Pure Storage (PSTG) Target 1 81.23 (-9.82%) Hit Rate 58%
- Ionis Pharma (IONS) Target 1 63.91 (-13.1%) Hit Rate 58%
- ETSY (ETSY) Target 1 52.91 (-10.45%) Hit Rate 61%
All the data driven signals above are generated on the medium term timeframe. Based on historical backtesting the average time to hit Target 1 is 20 days.
Tactical Sector Analysis (Equal Weight)
- Utilities (XLU) 85% positive scores, 67% continuing to advance. Hold full position, safest defensive overweight in the market. : Overweight
- Energy – selective (XLE) Oil & Gas Equipment sub-sector 70% accelerating: Overweight
- Health Care Select (XLV)65% positive scores, 50% continuing to advance : Overweight
- Regional Banking (KRE) 75% negative scores, 95% continuing to decline: Underweight
- Banks (KBE) 76% negative scores, 93% continuing to decline: Underweight
- Retailing (XRT) 54% negative scores, 85% continuing to decline: Underweight
We are seeing early signs of a change in Pharma/Biotech (XLU) which we were overweight up to last week. The momentum is beginning to slow here so are more neutral on this sector now.
Market Movements
The S&P 500 edged up 0.1% over the last trading day but fell 1.6% week-to-date, while the Dow Jones rose 0.2% daily against a 1.2% weekly decline. The Russell 2000 advanced 0.6% on Friday, deepening its WTD loss to 1.9%, as the VIX dropped 2.2% daily but climbed 9.4% for the week.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| Tandem Diabetes (TNDM:XNMS) | +22.0% |
| Expedia Group In (EXPE:XNGS) | +17.6% |
| 10x Genomics I-A (TXG:XNGS) | +17.3% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| Certara Inc (CERT:XNGS) | -23.1% |
| Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA:XNYS) | -20.8% |
| Ubiquiti Inc (UI:XNYS) | -19.4% |
Top Gainers (WTD)
| Hertz Global Hld (HTZ:XNGS) | +28.3% |
| Lumentum Hol (LITE:XNGS) | +19.1% |
| Kenvue Inc (KVUE:XNYS) | +17.5% |
Top Losers (WTD)
| Trex Co Inc (TREX:XNYS) | -31.8% |
| Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA:XNYS) | -31.1% |
| Celsius Holdings (CELH:XNCM) | -31.1% |
Quantmatix Success Stories
- Certara Inc (CERT:XNGS) delivered 25.5% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct;
- Quidelortho Corp (QDEL:XNGS) captured 24.6% upside from a Medium-Term Reversal negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct,
- Five9 Inc (FIVN:XNMS) achieved 18.3% gains after a Short-Term Top Quantmatix negative signal on Friday, 31 Oct; this high-conviction call highlighted a timely momentum shift.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.