Focus: Australia

Focus: Australia

Market Close: Wed, 04 February 2026

Daily Insights

Australia's consideration of a minerals price floor to attract overseas investment sparked a rotation into resource sectors, lifting the ASX higher amid mixed global cues.

The S&P/ASX 50 and ASX 300 advanced modestly, with Energy and Materials leading the charge as commodity-sensitive names outperformed. Information Technology plunged over 5%, dragging Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services lower, while Industrials provided mild support. Broader participation remained uneven, highlighting a divergence between cyclicals and defensives.

The policy signal bolsters confidence in Australia's resource economy, potentially extending the uptrend in materials if foreign inflows materialize. Investors should note the tech weakness as a caution against over-reliance on growth sectors in a volatile environment.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights a single high-conviction Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setup in the lottery sector, targeting oversold conditions with improving medium-term momentum. This opportunity aligns with broader consumer discretionary pressures but shows potential for mean reversion over the 1-4 week horizon. The 75% historical hit rate underscores its quality as a selective entry point.

Q Target Δ% Hit% Lottery Corp Ltd (TLC:XASX) -5.9 5.34 +3.2% 75%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD S&P/ASX 50 INDEX +1.2% S&P/ASX 300 +0.8% +0.6%
Focus: ASX 300

Top Gainers (1-Day)

Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited +9.5% +4.5% Strike Energy Limited Yancoal Australia Ltd +9.0%

Top Losers (1-Day)

Xero Ltd -15.9% -13.8% Nuix Limited -10.9% -12.2% Hub24 Limited -10.8% -13.3%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

1D (%)
Energy
+2.0% Industrials +0.2% Health Care Real Estate Utilities -1.3% Financials -1.4% Communicatio -2.6% Consumer Dis -2.7% Information -5.7%

Ranked by 1-day change

Quantmatix Success Stories

Our signals delivered strong results last week, with short positions in technology names like Xero and Hub24 capturing gains up to 13.8%, while a medium-term long in Yancoal added 9.0% amid resource strength.

XERO LTD (XRO:XASX)
+3.1% Materials -1.1% Consumer Sta Date Profit % Fri, 30 Jan +13.8% TECHNOLOGY ONE LIMITED (TNE:XASX) +10.1% HUB24 LIMITED (HUB:XASX) Mon, 2 Feb +9.8% YANCOAL AUSTRALIA LTD (YAL:XASX) SEEK LTD (SEK:XASX) +8.2%
Key Short-term signals Short-T DR Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals Medium-T DR Medium-T TopQ Pending Medium-T DR Pending Medium-T TopQ

Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.