Focus: Europe

Focus: Europe

Market Close: Thu, 29 January 2026

Daily Insights

European markets showed mixed performance today, with a heavy focus on corporate earnings season ("super Thursday" for many companies). The session featured gains in some indices offset by notable drags, particularly in tech.

Key Drivers and Highlights

  • Earnings Season Impact: A flood of Q4 results drove movements. ABB surged 8% on strong results,
  • Major Drag: SAP plummeted 16% (its worst day since 2020) after cloud revenue missed estimates and warnings of slower backlog growth in 2026 which heavily weighed on the DAX and tech sentiment.
  • Some pharma names like Roche and Sanofi were weaker (currency impacts and missed expectations), while miners benefited from commodity strength (gold/silver surge amid weak dollar).
  • The weaker US dollar supported commodity-related stocks and boosted some euro-denominated assets. The Fed kept rates steady (as expected), but geopolitical tensions (US-Iran) and euro strength concerns added caution. No major economic data releases dominated, but corporate news took center stage.

Overall, it was a choppy day with earnings dispersion creating winners and losers, leading to uneven closes across Europe. Tech-heavy pressures (especially SAP) pulled some indices lower, while commodity and financial resilience helped others hold up. 

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist presents two Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setups in the European market, targeting oversold conditions with improving momentum. These opportunities span the chemicals and banking sectors, offering potential for 1-4 week swings with solid hit rates around 70%. The setups appear robust, supported by advancing medium-term Qscores, positioning them as high-probability entries amid current market rotations.

Q Target Δ% Hit%
Air Liquide Sa (AI:XPAR) -5.0 163.00 +3.0% 72% Avanza Bank Hold (AZA:XSTO) -5.7 365.36 +4.7% 69%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

European benchmarks traded mixed, with the DAX declining over 2% while the FTSE 100 edged higher, and the Stoxx 600 slipping modestly; the VSTOXX volatility index jumped sharply by nearly 13%, underscoring rising unease. Energy led sector gains with broad-based advances, contrasting sharply with information technology's steep drop of more than 3%, as equal-weighted GICS data confirmed widespread weakness in health care and materials. What this means: The rotation into defensive and commodity-linked areas suggests investors are hedging against growth slowdown risks, with elevated volatility potentially amplifying near-term swings. Pending Medium-Term Reversal longs in select names align with this, offering mean-reversion potential if momentum stabilizes.

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD FTSE 100 +0.2% +0.3% CAC 40 +0.1% -0.9% STOXX 600 -0.2% Euro Stoxx 50 -0.7% DAX -2.1% -2.4%

Volatility

VSTOXX +12.8% +18.7%
Focus: Stoxx 600

Top Gainers (1-Day)

3I Group Plc +8.8% +4.1% Abb Ltd-Reg +8.5% +11.1% Ubisoft Entertai +6.5% +16.0%

Top Losers (1-Day)

Sap Se -16.1% -16.8% Hexpol Ab -13.9% -15.2% Nokia Oyj -9.4% -10.0%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

1D (%)
Energy
+0.4% Consumer Sta Utilities -0.3% Industrials -0.4% Communicatio -0.5% Consumer Dis -0.8% Health Care Materials Information -3.3%

Ranked by 1-day change

Quantmatix Success Stories

Our signals demonstrated strong performance last week, with Medium-Term Reversal shorts capturing gains up to 15.2% in names like HEXPOL AB, affirming the reliability of Quantmatix insights in volatile conditions.

HEXPOL AB (HPOLB:XSTO)
+1.4% Real Estate -0.1% Financials Date Profit % Fri, 23 Jan +15.2% ENTAIN PLC (ENT:XLON) +7.9% TEMENOS AG-REG (TEMN:XSWX) +7.6% SARTORIUS STEDIM (DIM:XPAR) +7.1% BE SEMICONDUCTOR (BESI:XAMS) Mon, 26 Jan +7.0%
Key Short-term signals Short-T DR Short-T TopQ Medium-term signals Medium-T DR Medium-T TopQ Pending Medium-T DR Pending Medium-T TopQ

Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.