Focus: Australia
Market Close: Mon, 19 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, Australian equities experienced a modest pullback amid mixed sector performances, with commodity-related areas showing resilience while defensive sectors faced pressure. Sector rotation highlighted strength in energy and materials, reflecting ongoing global demand for resources, contrasted by weakness in health care and consumer staples.
Key highlights from the session:
- Trade jitters weighed on sentiment, driven by US President Donald Trump's renewed threats of tariffs on European nations (linked to his ambitions regarding Greenland). This created caution despite the US markets being closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
- Gold provided a bright spot, hitting a fresh record high on safe-haven demand. This lifted gold miners significantly. Northern Star and Evolution Mining each rose more than 3%, helping the resources sector end up around +0.57%.
- Tech stocks were one of the weakest performers, tracking Friday's weakness in Wall Street's Nasdaq.
- Notable corporate moves included pressure on a2 Milk amid China's record-low birth rates in 2025 (impacting baby formula demand).
- Mixed China data also played a role, 2025 GDP growth met the 5% target, but weaker consumption/investment contrasted with strong exports, adding some resource sector caution.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights three compelling long opportunities within the ASX 300, focusing on Pending Medium-Term Reversal and Pending Medium-Term Top Quantmatix setups generated today. These positions target improving momentum in financial and health care names, with hit rates ranging from solid to strong, indicating high-probability entries for the 1-4 week horizon. The all-long bias reflects selective oversold conditions ripe for mean-reversion plays.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)
| Qscore | Target | Δ% | HitRate% | |||
| Ofx Group Limited (OFX:XASX) | ▲ | -8.9 | ↑ | 0.56 | +11.8% | 75% |
| Cochlear Ltd (COH:XASX) | ★ | -7.0 | ↑ | 276.86 | +3.0% | 80% |
| Asx Ltd (ASX:XASX) | ▲ | -7.6 | ↑ | 55.38 | +3.9% | 74% |
TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Australian indices traded slightly lower today, with the S&P/ASX 300 and 50 both down around 0.3%, while energy led gains among sectors, followed closely by materials and utilities; health care lagged significantly as the biggest decliner. Individual movers underscored this theme, with resource names like Boss Energy and Lotus Resources posting strong advances, contrasted by declines in staples such as a2 Milk and health care provider Pro Medicus. What it means: The rotation toward commodities signals sustained investor interest in resource exposure amid global recovery themes, but the broad market's hesitation points to selective risk-taking; with pending reversal signals in financials and health care, we anticipate potential stabilization in laggards if momentum shifts positively.
Equities
| 1D | WTD | |
| S&P/ASX 300 | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| S&P/ASX 50 | -0.4% | -0.4% |
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Boss Energy Limited | +13.6% | +13.6% | |
| Lotus Resources Limited | +9.8% | +9.8% | |
| Silex Systems Limited | +9.5% | +9.5% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| The A2 Milk Company Limited | -11.2% | -11.2% | |
| Life360, Inc. | -7.5% | -7.5% | |
| Pro Medicus Ltd | -6.8% | -6.8% |
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
- Catalyst Metals Limited (CYL:XASX) | 7.11% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYC:XASX) | 5.17% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Reliance Worldwide Corporation Limited (RWC:XASX) | 4.69% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Gentrack Group Limited (GTK:XASX) | 3.24% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Guzman y Gomez (Holdings) Ltd (GYG:XASX) | 3.13% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Liontown Resources Limited (LTR:XASX) | 2.79% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Cromwell Property Group (CMW:XASX) | 2.20% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Kelsian Group Limited (KLS:XASX) | 2.15% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Viva Energy Group Limited (VEA:XASX) | 1.73% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
- Nanosonics Limited (NAN:XASX) | 1.73% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 16 Jan.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.