Quantmatix Report

Focus: Australia

Market Close: Thu, 15 January 2026

Daily Insights

Key Pending Medium-T Reversal

At market close, Australian equities registered modest advances, buoyed by strength in resource-linked sectors amid favorable commodity dynamics. Sector rotation favored cyclicals, with materials and energy leading the performance, while defensive areas like utilities and technology encountered pressure. 

Key drivers and sector highlights:

  • Materials/Resources sector led any upside boosted by mining stocks amid rising commodity prices (base metals, precious metals like gold/silver, and iron ore dynamics). BHP was a standout, gaining about +2.6% and approaching record market cap levels, nearly overtaking CBA as Australia's most valuable listed company.
  • Financials showed mixed performance—some banks like ANZ gained  but the sector overall faced some rotation pressure earlier in the week.
  • Other notable movers included gains in certain miners (S32 up +4.55%) and healthcare/education stocks contributing positively in mid-session reports.
  • On the downside, tech stocks tracked Wall Street weakness (down around -1.5% in some sub-indices), with names like XRO and others falling. 
  • Energy was volatile but had some positive offsets from oil price movements.

Overall, it was a positive day with rotation into resources/mining outweighing softer areas like tech and parts of financials.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist presents four medium-term reversal long opportunities within the ASX 300, targeting oversold conditions with positive momentum shifts. These setups span telecom, development, and consumer sectors, offering potential for 1-4 week horizons. Hit rates across the list are strong, underscoring the methodology's emphasis on high-probability entries amid current market rotations.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)

Qscore Target Δ% HitRate%
Tpg Telecom Limited (TPG:XASX) -8.4 4.29 +8.5% 92%
Generation Development Group Limited (GDG:XASX) -4.6 6.38 +8.0% 78%
Ridley Corporation Limited (RIC:XASX) -7.9 2.78 +4.8% 70%
Adairs Limited (ADH:XASX) -6.7 2.03 +6.4% 72%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

Australian benchmarks advanced modestly today, with the S&P/ASX 50 and 300 gaining ground led by energy and materials sectors, where names like Coronado Global and South32 posted sharp rises. Decliners were prominent in mining and health care, including Chalice Mining and Clarity Pharmaceuticals, reflecting selective pressures in growth-oriented areas. What it means: The uptick signals sustained commodity-driven optimism, but laggards in tech and utilities highlight caution around rate-sensitive and high-valuation segments, potentially fostering rotation plays if broader indices hold firm.

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD
S&P/ASX 50 +0.7% +1.7%
S&P/ASX 300 +0.4% +1.6%
Focus Index
ASX 300

Top Gainers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Coronado Global Resources Inc. +7.3% +18.9%
South32 Ltd +4.5% +7.5%
Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals Limited +4.2% +0.9%

Top Losers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Chalice Mining Limited -7.3% -4.6%
Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd -6.4% -11.3%
Zip Co Limited -6.1% -13.5%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

1D (%)
Energy
+0.4%
Materials
-0.03%
Industrials
-0.2%
Communication Services
-0.4%
Consumer Discretionary
-0.5%
Real Estate
-0.5%
Financials
-0.6%
Health Care
-0.8%
Consumer Staples
-0.9%
Utilities
-1.2%
Information Technology
-1.5%

Ranked by 1-day change

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.