Quantmatix Report

Focus: Europe

Market Close: Wed, 14 January 2026

Daily Insights

Key Pending Medium-T Reversal

At market close, European markets exhibited mixed results as investors navigated heightened volatility and commodity price surges. Regional indices diverged, with the FTSE 100 showing resilience while the DAX and CAC faced modest pressures.

Sector rotation highlighted strength in materials, utilities, and energy, underscoring a blend of defensive and cyclical interests. Currency dynamics remained stable, though the euro edged lower against the dollar, contributing to a cautious cross-asset environment.

Key highlights:

  • Healthcare sector rose 1%, led by Finnish drugmaker Orion surging 12% on a better-than-expected 2026 revenue forecast.
  • AstraZeneca climbed 2.4% following its acquisition of Boston-based Modella AI.
  • Utilities benefited from wins like RWE and SSE in offshore wind auctions.

Broader context: Markets continue to show resilience amid ongoing geopolitical tensions (Venezuela developments and Greenland talks), with optimism around corporate earnings, economic growth, and sector rotations. 

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist presents three Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setups in consumer staples and industrials names. These opportunities target oversold conditions with advancing medium-term momentum, offering potential for 1-4 week swings. Hit rates are consistently strong, emphasizing the high-probability nature of these filtered entries under current market dynamics.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)

Qscore Target Δ% HitRate%
Compass Group (CPG:XLON) -5.4 24.15 +4.0% 71%
Bunzl Plc (BNZL:XLON) -8.4 21.92 +5.5% 67%
Latour Inv-B (LATOB:XSTO) -8.0 238.40 +4.0% 74%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

European equities closed mixed, with the Stoxx 600 edging higher while major indices like the DAX and Euro Stoxx 50 declined modestly. The FTSE 100 outperformed amid broader regional divergence, supported by gains in natural gas prices that bolstered energy sentiment. Sector leadership emerged in materials, utilities, and energy, contrasting with weakness in information technology and consumer discretionary areas, signaling rotation toward cyclicals and defensives. The euro weakened slightly against the dollar, while the VSTOXX rose notably, indicating elevated risk perceptions. German bund yields ticked higher, adding pressure to rate-sensitive sectors.

Movement signals: Among today's decliners, Vistry Group registered a Pending Medium-Term Reversal short setup, pointing to possible extended downside in the near term.

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD
FTSE 100 +0.46% +0.59%
STOXX 600 +0.18% +0.31%
CAC 40 -0.19% -0.37%
Euro Stoxx 50 -0.41% +0.13%
DAX -0.53% +0.10%

FX

1D WTD
EUR/USD -0.20% +0.07%

Commodities

1D WTD
Natural Gas Future ICE +4.2% +11.9%

Volatility

1D WTD
VSTOXX +6.1% +12.4%
Focus Index
Stoxx 600

Top Gainers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Orion Oyj-Cl B +12.0% +6.6%
Ems-Chemie Hldg +8.1% +7.5%
Jyske Bank-Reg +7.2% +8.8%

Top Losers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Pearson Plc -9.6% -8.2%
Vistry Group Plc -9.1% -9.5%
Fresenius Medica -6.0% -6.4%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

1D (%)
Materials
+1.4%
Utilities
+1.1%
Energy
+0.96%
Health Care
+0.83%
Communication Services
+0.76%
Consumer Staples
+0.41%
Financials
+0.37%
Industrials
+0.02%
Real Estate
-0.27%
Consumer Discretionary
-0.65%
Information Technology
-1.5%

Ranked by 1-day change

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.