Focus: US
Market Close: Tue, 13 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US equities concluded a session marked by modest pullbacks amid mixed sector performances and heightened volatility. Sector rotation favored defensive and energy names, reflecting investor caution in a landscape of steady macroeconomic data releases.
Key drivers:
- Inflation data (CPI) was as expected (monthly +0.3%, yearly 2.7%), which didn't dramatically shift Fed rate cut expectations—markets still priced in a likely pause at the January Fed meeting but potential for 1-2 cuts later in 2026. This provided some support but didn't spark a rally.
- Bank earnings: JPMorgan reported better-than-expected results, but shares slipped amid broader financial sector pressure (financials down 2%). Investors reacted to potential policy changes impacting lending/credit.
- Sector moves: Financial stocks weighed on the market, while some tech/chip names (e.g., Intel and AMD upgraded on strong AI/server demand outlook, with Intel "sold out" of certain capacity through 2026) showed relative strength.
- Other notes: Delta Air Lines shares fell after weaker-than-expected 2026 profit guidance. Gold hit record highs on rate cut hopes and geopolitical factors; oil saw some upward pressure.
Risk appetite appeared tempered, with small-cap indices showing resilience compared to large-cap benchmarks. This environment underscores ongoing momentum shifts, setting the stage for potential opportunities in mean-reversion setups.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO shortlist highlights seven Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups, all targeting long positions in the Russell 1000 with improving medium-term momentum. These opportunities emerge from oversold conditions across diverse sectors, featuring strong hit rates averaging above 70%. The consistent advancing Qscores suggest high-probability entries for swings over the next 1-4 weeks, emphasizing quality mean-reversion candidates.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)
| Qscore | Target | Δ% | HitRate% | |||
| Texas Pacific La (TPL:XNYS) | -4.3 | 343.69 | +6.8% | 85% | ||
| Paycom Software (PAYC:XNYS) | -7.4 | 169.54 | +7.7% | 69% | ||
| Performance Food (PFGC:XNYS) | -8.4 | 96.44 | +4.6% | 81% | ||
| Crown Castle Inc (CCI:XNYS) | -4.3 | 90.96 | +4.8% | 69% | ||
| Resmed Inc (RMD:XNYS) | -5.9 | 264.30 | +3.8% | 77% | ||
| Service Corp Int (SCI:XNYS) | -4.9 | 82.46 | +3.2% | 77% | ||
| Jacobs Solutions (J:XNYS) | -7.3 | 146.45 | +5.0% | 71% |
TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
US equity markets traded lower overall, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones posting modest declines amid broad-based caution. Energy and Consumer Staples sectors led gains through SPDR Select ETFs, while Financials lagged significantly, indicating a shift toward defensives. Equal-weighted GICS data reinforced this, with Energy topping daily performers and Financials as the weakest link. The dollar strengthened against the yen but softened versus the euro, contributing to mixed currency dynamics. Volatility rose as measured by the VIX, signaling elevated risk awareness, while Bitcoin advanced notably.
Movement signals: Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups registered in Bitcoin for long exposure and in Cable One for short, highlighting potential mean-reversion plays among notable movers.
Equities
| 1D | WTD | |
| Russell 2000 | -0.10% | +0.34% |
| Russell 1000 | -0.18% | -0.04% |
| S&P 500 | -0.19% | -0.04% |
| Dow Jones | -0.80% | -0.63% |
FX
| 1D | WTD | |
| USD/JPY | +0.63% | +0.79% |
| EUR/USD | -0.20% | +0.07% |
| US Dollar Index | -0.27% | -0.27% |
Volatility
| 1D | WTD | |
| VIX | +5.7% | +10.3% |
Crypto
| 1D | WTD | |
| Bitcoin | +3.3% | +3.7% |
US Sector ETFs
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Moderna Inc | +17.0% | +15.4% | |
| Roblox Corp - A | +10.5% | +15.7% | |
| Intel Corp | +7.3% | +3.8% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Cable One Inc | -8.9% | -5.4% | |
| Enovis Corp | -8.5% | -16.9% | |
| Apellis Pharmace | -8.1% | -21.9% |
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
Ranked by 1-day change
Mag 7
- ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) rose 1.1% over the last trading day and 2.2% week-to-date.
- NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) rose 0.5% over the last trading day and 0.5% week-to-date.
- APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) rose 0.3% over the last trading day and 0.7% week-to-date.
- TESLA INC (TSLA:XNGS) fell 0.4% over the last trading day and rose 0.5% week-to-date.
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) fell 1.4% over the last trading day and fell 1.8% week-to-date.
- AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) fell 1.6% over the last trading day and fell 1.9% week-to-date.
- META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) fell 1.7% over the last trading day and fell 3.4% week-to-date.
Mag 7 performance diverged, with Alphabet leading gains while Meta and Amazon faced pressure, reflecting selective tech rotation.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- ALBEMARLE CORP (ALB:XNYS) | 9.7% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- PLANET FITNESS-A (PLNT:XNYS) | 7.2% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- FIDELITY NATIONA (FNF:XNYS) | 7.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ROIVANT SCIENCES (ROIV:XNMS) | 6.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- INTUIT INC (INTU:XNGS) | 6.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- MERCURY SYSTEMS (MRCY:XNGS) | 6.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- INSPIRE MEDICAL (INSP:XNYS) | 6.0% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ARISTA NETWORKS (ANET:XNYS) | 5.7% profit following a Medium-Term Top Quantmatix on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ASSURED GUARANTY (AGO:XNYS) | 5.1% profit following a Medium-Term Top Quantmatix on Fri, 9 Jan.
- TOPBUILD COR (BLD:XNYS) | 5.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.