Quantmatix Report

Focus: US

Market Close: Mon, 29 December 2025

Daily Insights

Good afternoon. US markets edged lower today, with the S&P 500 declining 0.4% amid heightened volatility as the Cboe Volatility Index rose 4.4%. 

The modest decline in US stock markets stemmed primarily from year-end profit-taking in heavyweight technology and AI-related stocks, amid thin holiday trading volumes that amplified moves.

Energy led sector gains at +0.9%, reflecting resilience in select names.

Precious metals (gold and silver) retreated sharply from records, adding to a risk-off tone in parts of the market.

No major negative economic data or news events dominated; the move appeared technical and positioning-related ahead of the new year, with upcoming Fed minutes (released December 30) in focus for 2026 rate clues.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

  • TRADE DESK INC-A (TTD:XNMS) | MT-Qscore -8.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 43.7 | 13.8% | Hit Rate: 77%
  • BLOCK INC (SQ:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -4.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 71.31 | 8.2% | Hit Rate: 84%
  • FMC CORP (FMC:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.4 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 16.39 | 18.5% | Hit Rate: 69%
  • EXTRA SPACE STOR (EXR:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -4.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 137.42 | 5.1% | Hit Rate: 84%
  • GUIDEWIRE SOFTWA (GWRE:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -4.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 220.31 | 8.1% | Hit Rate: 71%
  • ALEXANDRIA REAL (ARE:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 53.9 | 9.6% | Hit Rate: 63%
  • CLOROX CO (CLX:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 104.97 | 5.7% | Hit Rate: 62%
  • AUTODESK INC (ADSK:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -4.1 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 315.55 | 4.8% | Hit Rate: 71%
  • REALTY INCOME (O:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 58.79 | 3.5% | Hit Rate: 74%
  • GARMIN LTD (GRMN:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.3 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 215.96 | 5.0% | Hit Rate: 75%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

Major indices closed modestly lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.5%, the S&P 500 off 0.4%, and the Russell 2000 declining 0.6%; the Cboe Volatility Index rose 4.4% signaling increased uncertainty.

Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*

Energy +0.9%
Utilities +0.4%
Real Estate +0.2%

* equal-weighted

Top Sector Losers (1-Day)

Consumer Discretionary -0.7%
Health Care -0.7%
Materials -0.6%

Energy led today’s gains, with healthcare and consumer discretionary lagging amid broader market weakness.

Mag 7

  • APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) rose 0.13% over the last trading day and 0.13% week-to-date.
  • MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) fell 0.13% over the last trading day and 0.13% week-to-date.
  • ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) fell 0.18% over the last trading day and 0.18% week-to-date.
  • AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) fell 0.19% over the last trading day and 0.19% week-to-date.
  • META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) fell 0.69% over the last trading day and 0.69% week-to-date.
  • NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) fell 1.21% over the last trading day and 1.21% week-to-date.
  • TESLA INC (TSLA:XNGS) fell 3.27% over the last trading day and 3.27% week-to-date.

Overall Mag 7 momentum is fading in line with broader market declines.

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.