Focus: US
Market Close: Wed, 17 December 2025
Daily Insights
US markets closed lower yesterday amid heightened volatility, with the S&P 500 down 1.2% and the VIX spiking 6.9%, reflecting caution ahead of year-end positioning and upcoming economic data. Energy stocks bucked the trend, surging on commodity strength, aligning with our momentum indicators showing advancing readings in that sector.
Losses were led by declines in major names like Nvidia (down 3.8%) and Oracle amid reports of funding pullback for a data center project.
This rotation into energy and materials supports swing ideas in financials and healthcare, where pending reversals indicate potential upside over the next 1-4 weeks.
Broader sentiment reflected rotation out of high-valuation AI trades, with no major new Federal Reserve announcements on the day.
Overall, the day contributed to a risk-off tone as markets digested AI sector skepticism heading into the end of 2025.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
- FISERV INC (FI:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 77.69 | 13.7% | Hit Rate: 79%
- WARNER BROS DISC (WBD:XNGS) | MT-Qscore 8.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signal Today. | Target1: 23.06 | -18.2% | Hit Rate: 51%
- KINSALE CAPITAL (KNSL:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.3 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 407.0 | 7.7% | Hit Rate: 83%
- ABBOTT LABS (ABT:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 132.09 | 4.3% | Hit Rate: 82%
- LUMENTUM HOL (LITE:XNGS) | MT-Qscore 7.3 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signal Today. | Target1: 254.56 | -20.5% | Hit Rate: 58%
- CHEMED CORP (CHE:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -6.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 457.46 | 6.1% | Hit Rate: 72%
- CHARTER COMMUN-A (CHTR:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -7.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 225.03 | 7.3% | Hit Rate: 73%
- ARTHUR J GALLAGH (AJG:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 263.74 | 5.1% | Hit Rate: 80%
- WESTERN DIGITAL (WDC:XNGS) | MT-Qscore 7.0 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal negative signal Today. | Target1: 145.06 | -12.8% | Hit Rate: 63%
- ROYAL CARIBBEAN (RCL:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.0 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 302.73 | 6.3% | Hit Rate: 77%
Market Movements
Major indices declined today, with the S&P 500 falling 1.2%, the Dow Jones slipping 0.5%, and the Russell 2000 dropping 1.1%, while the Cboe Volatility Index rose 6.9% amid risk-off sentiment.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| NEW FORTRESS ENE (NFE:XNGS) | +11.1% |
| TORO CO (TTC:XNYS) | +10.7% |
| TEXAS PACIFIC LA (TPL:XNYS) | +7.6% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| VISTRA CORP (VST:XNYS) | -7.8% |
| NVENT ELECTRIC (NVT:XNYS) | -7.3% |
| OLAPLEX HOLDINGS (OLPX:XNGS) | -7.0% |
Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*
| Energy | +2.5% |
| Materials | +0.7% |
| Real Estate | +0.7% |
* equal-weighted
Top Sector Losers (1-Day)*
| Information Technology | -1.3% |
| Industrials | -0.9% |
| Communication Services | -0.3% |
Energy led today’s gains, extending strength in names like New Fortress Energy, while technology and industrials weighed on broader indices.
Mag 7
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) fell 0.1% over the last trading day and -0.5% week-to-date.
- AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) fell 0.6% over the last trading day and -2.2% week-to-date.
- APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) fell 1.0% over the last trading day and -2.3% week-to-date.
- META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) fell 1.2% over the last trading day and +0.8% week-to-date.
- ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) fell 3.1% over the last trading day and -4.0% week-to-date.
- NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) fell 3.8% over the last trading day and -2.3% week-to-date.
- TESLA INC (TSLA:XNGS) fell 4.6% over the last trading day and +1.8% week-to-date.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is fading, with broad declines pressuring the group.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- LUCID GROUP INC (LCID:XNGS) | 11.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- CRANE NXT CO (CXT:XNYS) | 9.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- BROADCOM INC (AVGO:XNGS) | 9.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- GENERAC HOLDINGS (GNRC:XNYS) | 8.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 Dec 2025.
- ULTRAGENYX PHARM (RARE:XNGS) | 8.3% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- NVENT ELECTRIC (NVT:XNYS) | 7.4% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 Dec 2025.
- NRG ENERGY (NRG:XNYS) | 7.4% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- NEUROCRINE BIOSC (NBIX:XNGS) | 7.3% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- UBER TECHNOLOGIE (UBER:XNYS) | 7.0% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 12 Dec 2025.
- CHARGEPOINT HOLD (CHPT:XNYS) | 6.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 15 Dec 2025.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.