Quantmatix Weekly Market Insights

Focus: US Weekly Market Insights & Ideas

Market Close: Fri, 05 December 2025

North American markets showed resilience this week amid mixed economic signals, with Information Technology and Communication Services sectors leading gains driven by strong performances in software and telecom names. Sector rotation favored growth-oriented areas, aligning with our Quantmatix signals highlighting Medium-Term Reversals in healthcare and consumer stocks. As volatility eases with the Cboe Volatility Index down 5.8% week-to-date, momentum indicators point to continued upside in select Russell 1000 constituents.

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  • AGILON HEALTH IN (AGL:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.7 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 0.83 | 27.3% | Hit Rate: 67%
  • CORE & MAIN IN-A (CNM:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 54.91 | 9.3% | Hit Rate: 82%
  • KYNDRYL HOLDINGS (KD:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.1 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 28.63 | 9.3% | Hit Rate: 86%
  • FIVE9 INC (FIVN:XNMS) | MT-Qscore -4.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 22.84 | 10.6% | Hit Rate: 75%
  • OWENS CORNING (OC:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.6 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 122.24 | 7.6% | Hit Rate: 79%
  • CINTAS CORP (CTAS:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -8.7 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 194.09 | 3.9% | Hit Rate: 86%
  • T-MOBILE US INC (TMUS:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -5.1 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 220.4 | 5.1% | Hit Rate: 67%
  • DARDEN RESTAURANTS (DRI:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals At today’s Market Close. | Target1: 186.98 | 5.2% | Hit Rate: 69%

Market Movements

Major indices posted modest gains across the last week of trading, with the S&P 500 up 0.3% week-to-date and 0.2% over the last trading day, while the Dow Jones rose 0.5% week-to-date and 0.2% on Friday. The Russell 1000 advanced 0.3% week-to-date and 0.2% daily, contrasting the Russell 2000's 0.8% weekly gain but -0.4% daily dip. Volatility eased as the Cboe Volatility Index declined 5.8% week-to-date and 2.3% on the day.

Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*

Communication Services +1.0%
Information Technology +0.6%
Consumer Discretionary +0.4%

* equal-weighted

Top Sector Losers (1-Day)*

Utilities -0.6%
Real Estate -0.5%
Health Care -0.2%

Information Technology led long sentiment with 3.5% weekly gains, while Utilities and Real Estate exhibited short-side pressure amid rising yields.

US Sector Research Note 

Recent Reversals Spotlight: Focus on November 21-December 5 reversals
  • Banks (05 Dec, Positive Reversal): 91% acceleration, 40% positive regime, 101 positive reversals (△), no exhaustion – light upside targets (2-5% moves, 59-68% hits). Catalyst: Fed rate-cut signals boost market sentiment.
  • Energy (28 Nov, Positive Reversal): 75% acceleration, 72% positive regime, 37 positive reversals (△), no exhaustion – modest upside targets (3-6% moves, 52-71% hits). Trigger: Oil demand outlook strengthens into the 2030s as EV adoption lags.
  • Transportation (28 Nov, Positive Reversal): 72% acceleration, 49% positive regime, 14 positive reversals (△), no exhaustion – solid upside targets (0-5% moves, 56-60% hits). Driver: Trucking capacity is shrinking, signaling a freight market upturn.
  • Utilities (21 Nov, Negative Reversal): 12% acceleration, 73% positive regime, 3 positive reversals (△) vs 15 negative (▼), minor exhaustion – downside targets (5-6% drops, 33-38% hits). Context: US power use to reach record highs in 2025 and 2026, per EIA.
Caution Flags: Cyclicals like tech hardware and REITs lack fresh reversals, showing deceleration without new positives.

Strongly Prefer / Increase 
  • Banks
  • Energy
  • Transportation
Reduce / Hedge 
  • Utilities
  • Tech Hardware & Storage
  • REITs
  • Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
  • Automobiles & Components
Neutral
  • Commercial & Professional Services: 76% acceleration tempers regime, 1 negative reversal (▼) – Neutral, await reversals.
  • Consumer Durables & Apparel: 71% acceleration with 18 positive reversals (△) drives flip – Neutral recovery.
  • Health Care Equipment & Services: 52% acceleration resilient, 2 green circle positive exhaustions (○) – Neutral, watch exhaustion.
  • Consumer Services: 62% acceleration balances – Neutral hold.
  • Telecommunication Services: 60% acceleration steadies – Neutral anchor.
  • Real Estate Management & Development: 58% acceleration eases negative – Neutral exposure.
  • Food & Staples Retailing: 58% acceleration and 3 positive reversals (△) counters tilt – Neutral stable.
  • Software & Services: 57% acceleration mixed – Avoid until reversals.
  • Food, Beverage & Tobacco: 55% acceleration with 6 positive reversals (△) – Neutral, monitor clusters.
  • Retailing: 54% acceleration dominant
  • Media & Entertainment: 52% acceleration even – Avoid reversals.
  • Capital Goods: 47% acceleration tempers
  • Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment: 44% acceleration balanced – Avoid beta.
  • Household & Personal Products: 39% acceleration signals inflection despite regime – Neutral, monitor clusters. 
Conclusions drawn solely from Quantmatix US data – no external conjecture. 

Broader aggregates: 
  • Equities 58% acceleration with regime tilt urges caution;
  • Commodities 62% bullish aids energy; 
  • Fixed/risk decelerate, caps mixed
Final Market Call: Bullish on recent reversal inflections amid acceleration clusters. Fresh Dec positives resolve regime tensions via catalysts. Overweight leaders now; re-enter hedges at 70%+ acceleration.

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.