Focus: US Daily Market Insight
Market Close: Thu, 04 December 2025
US stock markets ended largely flat on December 4, 2025, with major indexes showing minimal movement as investors digested mixed labor market data and positioned for the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting. The session reflected cautious optimism, with the S&P 500 hovering just shy of its all-time high amid heightened bets for a 25-basis-point rate cut next week. Trading volume was moderate, and attention shifted to upcoming inflation figures due on Friday.
- Labor Data: ADP Nov payrolls unexpectedly fell signaling cooling. Jobless claims dropped to 191K. Challenger layoffs hit 71K, pushing YTD to 1.17M — highest since 2020.
- Fed Odds: 87% chance of a 25bps Dec cut (up from 69% a month ago). Economists largely agree, but Fed remains split on 2026 pace.
- US 10-yr yield +4 bps to 4.10%.
- Bitcoin slipped below $92K. as crypto still under pressure
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
- CORE & MAIN IN-A (CNM:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 54.69 | 9.65% | Hit Rate: 82%
- KYNDRYL HOLDINGS (KD:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.1 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 28.7 | 9.24% | Hit Rate: 86%
- FIVE9 INC (FIVN:XNMS) | MT-Qscore -4.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 22.93 | 10.56% | Hit Rate: 75%
- CELANESE CORP (CE:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -6.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 44.76 | 12.34% | Hit Rate: 73%
- AGILON HEALTH IN (AGL:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.7 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 0.9 | 23.37% | Hit Rate: 67%
- MANPOWERGROUP IN (MAN:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.9 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 31.1 | 10.63% | Hit Rate: 63%
- ZILLOW GRO-C (Z:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -5.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 80.84 | 7.04% | Hit Rate: 75%
- FORTUNE BRANDS I (FBIN:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.4 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signals on Today. | Target1: 54.24 | 6.91% | Hit Rate: 72%
Market Movements
The S&P 500 and Russell 1000 each rose 0.1% over the last trading day, while the Russell 2000 gained 0.8%. Week-to-date, the Russell 2000 is up 1.2%, and the Cboe Volatility Index fell 3.5%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| UIPATH INC -CL A (PATH:XNYS) | +24.4% |
| SCIENCE APPLICAT (SAIC:XNYS) | +16.3% |
| DOLLAR GENERAL C (DG:XNYS) | +14.0% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| PVH CORP (PVH:XNYS) | -11.9% |
| SNOWFLAKE INC-A (SNOW:XNYS) | -11.4% |
| INTEL CORP (INTC:XNGS) | -7.5% |
Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*
| Communication Services | +0.6% |
| Industrials | +0.5% |
| Information Technology | +0.5% |
* equal-weighted
Top Sector Losers (1-Day)
| Materials | -1.1% |
| Consumer Discretionary | -0.7% |
| Real Estate | -0.6% |
Communication Services and Industrials led today’s gains, with several names extending strong WTD momentum in information technology.
Mag 7
- META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) rose 3.4% over the last trading day and 2.1% week-to-date.
- NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) rose 2.1% over the last trading day and 3.6% week-to-date.
- TESLA INC (TSLA:XNGS) rose 1.7% over the last trading day and 5.7% week-to-date.
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) rose 0.7% over the last trading day and -2.3% week-to-date.
- ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) fell 0.7% over the last trading day and -0.5% week-to-date.
- APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) fell 1.2% over the last trading day and 0.7% week-to-date.
- AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) fell 1.4% over the last trading day and -1.8% week-to-date.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is mixed, with strength in Tesla and NVIDIA offsetting declines in Amazon and Apple.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- DOLLAR GENERAL C (DG:XNYS) | 14.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 01 Dec 2025.
- SCHNEIDER NATL-B (SNDR:XNYS) | 12.0% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- LEGGETT & PLATT (LEG:XNYS) | 11.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- DECKERS OUTDOOR (DECK:XNYS) | 9.3% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- ON SEMICONDUCTOR (ON:XNGS) | 9.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- AMERISOURCEBERGE (ABC:XNYS) | 8.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- CENCORA INC (COR:XNYS) | 8.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- KBR INC (KBR:XNYS) | 8.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- ALLEGRO MICROSYS (ALGM:XNGS) | 8.0% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
- MCKESSON CORP (MCK:XNYS) | 7.6% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 28 Nov 2025.
As markets digest today's rotation into industrials and technology, investors should monitor upcoming jobs data and CPI releases for signals on monetary policy direction. Strength in healthcare names like Agilon Health may continue amid sector momentum, while materials remain under pressure. We’ll continue to track how these setups evolve in the week ahead.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.