Quantmatix Daily Market Insights

US Daily Market Insights & Ideas

Market Close: Mon, 01 December 2025

US stock markets closed lower on December 1, 2025, marking a cautious start to the final month of the year after a strong rebound in late November. The session was characterized by risk-off sentiment, driven primarily by a sharp slump in cryptocurrencies and rising Treasury yields, which pressured tech and growth-oriented stocks. Despite the downturn, expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later in December (now priced in at over 87% probability) provided some underlying support, though traders remained wary ahead of key inflation data later in the week.

  • Crypto Slump: Bitcoin fell around 6%, erasing recent gains and dragging down related equities like Coinbase (down >4%), MicroStrategy (down 3.3%), and Robinhood (down >4%).
  • Bond Yields and Fed Outlook: Rising yields (10-year Treasury up 7 basis points) clashed with bets on a December Fed cut, creating choppy trading.
  • Other Factors: Oil prices spiked amid geopolitical tensions, adding to inflation concerns ahead of Friday's PCE report

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO methodology

Key: Advancing | Declining

TEVO long trades pick oversold but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, and no overbought conditions—giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

  • CORE & MAIN IN-A (CNM:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.4 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 53.95 | 10.94% | Hit Rate: 82%
  • KYNDRYL HOLDINGS (KD:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.1 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 28.46 | 9.85% | Hit Rate: 86%
  • OWENS CORNING (OC:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 122.43 | 7.68% | Hit Rate: 79%
  • ZILLOW GRO-C (Z:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -5.3 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 79.26 | 7.80% | Hit Rate: 75%
  • CINTAS CORP (CTAS:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -8.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 193.34 | 4.27% | Hit Rate: 86%
  • KKR & CO INC (KKR:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 130.63 | 6.90% | Hit Rate: 80%
  • VERISIGN INC (VRSN:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -6.9 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 263.22 | 4.86% | Hit Rate: 83%
  • ALASKA AIR GROUP (ALK:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.4 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signals Today. | Target1: 46.41 | 9.16% | Hit Rate: 70%
Throughout the week, TEVO continuously monitors all pending signals that are on track to confirm at Friday’s close. These setups can strengthen or switch off as new data comes in, so our intraweek methodology updates the expected value, trend condition, and risk profile in real time—ensuring only the highest-quality ideas make it into the final confirmed picks.

Market Movements

Major indices declined across the board today, with the Dow Jones down 0.9%, the S&P 500 off 0.5%, and the Russell 1000 slipping 0.5%; the Russell 2000 fell 1.3% while the Cboe Volatility Index surged 5.4%, signaling heightened market uncertainty.

Mag 7

  • NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) rose 1.7% over the last trading day.
  • APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) rose 1.5% over the last trading day.
  • AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) rose 0.3% | registered Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today.
  • ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) fell 1.6% over the last trading day.
  • META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) fell 1.1% over the last trading day.
  • MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) fell 1.1% over the last trading day.

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.