Quantmatix Daily Market Insights

US Daily Market Insights & Ideas

Market Close: 25 November 2025

US stock markets closed sharply higher on Tuesday, November 25, extending gains for a second straight day in a holiday-shortened trading week. The rally was driven by economic data reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut—now priced at over 80% odds for 25 basis points at the December 9-10 FOMC meeting—amid softening labor market signals and stale reports from the recent government shutdown.


Small-cap stocks outperformed, with the Russell 2000 up 2.14%, as investors favored domestic-focused names benefiting from lower rates. The VIX "fear gauge" dipped below 19, signaling reduced volatility.


Consumer discretionary surged, led by retailers like Best Buy and Kohl's ahead of earnings. Tech lagged, with semiconductors hit hard: Nvidia (-2.59%) and AMD (-4.15%) dropped on reports of Meta Platforms and Google exploring custom AI chips, potentially reducing reliance on Nvidia's GPUs.

Swing Trading Ideas (1 - 4 week duration)

Key: Advancing | Declining

  • AT&T INC (T:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -8.4 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal on Monday. | Target1: 26.86 (3.87%) | Hit Rate: 67%
  • REPUBLIC SVCS (RSG:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.3 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal on Monday. | Target1: 224.46 (3.4%) | Hit Rate: 80%
  • INTERCONTINENTAL (ICE:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -7.7 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal on Monday. | Target1: 161.23 (3.38%) | Hit Rate: 78%
  • MOODY'S CORP (MCO:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.6 | Pending Medium-Term Reversal positive signal on Monday. | Target1: 507.79 (4.56%) | Hit Rate: 76%

Market Movements

U.S. indices showed broad gains, with the Dow Jones up 1.4%, Russell 1000 +1.0%, and S&P 500 +0.9%. The Russell 2000 led with +2.1%, while the Cboe Volatility Index declined 9.6%.

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.