Focus: US

Focus: US

Market Close: Fri, 13 February 2026

Weekly Insights

US inflation cooled to 2.4% in January, easing pressures from gasoline and used vehicles, which initially lifted stocks before AI-related concerns contributed to the worst weekly performance since November. Federal Reserve officials emphasized that further rate cuts depend on sustained progress toward the 2% target amid sticky services inflation.

Major US indices ended the week lower, with the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 posting modest daily gains that failed to offset broader declines, as investors rotated into defensive sectors like utilities and energy while technology and financials lagged. Volatility rose notably week-to-date, reflecting uncertainty around AI disruptions and upcoming policy decisions, including potential new capital rules for large banks. Equal-weighted sector performance highlighted strength in utilities and energy, contrasting with weakness in financials and health care.

This environment suggests opportunities for traders in mean-reversion plays amid heightened volatility, particularly where medium-term signals indicate potential bounces in underperforming names. Investors should monitor inflation trends and Fed commentary for cues on rate path, favoring defensive positioning until clearer bullish momentum emerges.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

The TEVO shortlist features five high-conviction long setups with a 1-4 week horizon, including Medium-Term Reversals and a Medium-Term Top Quantmatix in software and consumer names like Paycom Software, NetApp, and PTC. These opportunities arise from positive momentum shifts in a market grappling with inflation relief and AI jitters, offering potential for targeted upside amid broader weekly weakness.

Q Target Δ% Hit% Paycom Software (PAYC:XNYS) -7.1 138.93 +10.9% 69% Netapp Inc (NTAP:XNGS) -6.0 110.21 +7.6% 78% Ptc Inc (PTC:XNGS) -8.9 169.24 +8.0% 65% Ollie'S Bargain (OLLI:XNMS) 121.69 +7.0% 72% Lamb Weston (LW:XNYS) -6.4 52.39 +5.2% 88%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD Russell 2000 +1.2% -0.9% Russell 1000 +0.12% -1.3% Dow Jones +0.10% -1.2% S&P 500 +0.05% -1.4%

Volatility

VIX -1.1% +16.0%

US Sector ETFs

1D (%)
+1.5% Health Care +1.1% Materials +0.9% Industrials +0.8% Energy +0.7% Consumer Sta +0.34% Technology +0.25% Consumer Dis +0.04% Communicatio -0.08%

Mag 7

TESLA INC +0.09% MICROSOFT CORP -0.13% AMAZON INC -0.41% -5.5% ALPHABET INC-A -5.3% META PLATFORMS-A -1.6% -3.3% NVIDIA CORP -2.2% APPLE INC -2.3% -8.0%
Focus: Russell 1000
+2.8% Real Estate -0.05% Financials
+2.6% Information +1.7% Energy +1.6% Real Estate +1.4% Industrials Health Care Consumer Dis Materials +0.6% Financials +0.33% Communicatio +0.32% Consumer Sta +0.16%

Ranked by 1-day change

Top Gainers (WTD)

Ipg Photonics +2.4% +40.4% Cognex Corp +0.20% +38.8% Acadia Healthcar +5.5% +25.4%

Top Losers (WTD)

Kyndryl Holdings +7.9% -47.9% Agilon Health In -0.7% -44.3% Icon Plc +16.1% -38.2%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

Utilities
Key Medium-T DR Medium-T TopQ Pending Medium-T DR Pending Medium-T TopQ

Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.