Focus: Europe
Market Close: Fri, 16 January 2026
Weekly Insights
At market close on Friday, European markets concluded a week of mixed performance, with broad indices showing modest gains amid selective sector strength. Energy and utilities sectors led the advance, reflecting a rotation towards defensive and commodity-linked names as investors navigated heightened volatility.
Sector and stock drivers:
- Technology and AI-related stocks provided lift, boosted by optimism from strong TSMC results
- Defense stocks advanced amid ongoing geopolitical focus, including European troop movements related to Greenland discussions and eased tensions elsewhere
- Other notable moves included Siemens Energy surging over 6% after dividend confirmation, while some luxury and chemicals names lagged
- Energy and industrials saw favor in rotations.
The euro weakened slightly against the dollar, while natural gas prices surged, underscoring persistent supply concerns.
Overall sentiment remains cautious, with risk appetite tempered by geopolitical uncertainties and upcoming economic data releases. This environment highlights opportunities for tactical positioning in resilient areas of the market.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
There are no swing trading opportunities to report this week. The TEVO methodology applies rigorous filtering criteria to identify only the highest-probability setups, and current market conditions have not produced candidates meeting these thresholds. This is a normal occurrence that reflects the system's commitment to quality over quantity.
Market Movements
European benchmarks displayed resilience week-to-date, with the Stoxx 600 edging higher by 0.77% despite a flat close, while the FTSE 100 outperformed among major indices at 1.09% WTD; however, the CAC 40 lagged with a 1.23% decline. Energy emerged as the standout sector, gaining 3.82% WTD on the back of surging natural gas futures, while utilities led daily movers at 0.81%; in contrast, materials and consumer discretionary sectors underperformed sharply, with the former down 1.65% daily. The VSTOXX rose 4.50% daily, signaling increased hedging activity. What this means: The rotation into energy and defensives suggests investors are prioritizing stability amid rising volatility and commodity pressures, potentially setting the stage for broader mean-reversion if upcoming data alleviates concerns.
Equities
| 1D | WTD | |
| STOXX 600 | -0.03% | +0.8% |
| FTSE 100 | -0.04% | +1.1% |
| Euro Stoxx 50 | -0.2% | +0.5% |
| DAX | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| CAC 40 | -0.7% | -1.2% |
FX
| 1D | WTD | |
| EUR/USD | -0.3% | -0.2% |
Commodities
| 1D | WTD | |
| Natural Gas Future ICE | +4.4% | +18.6% |
Volatility
| 1D | WTD | |
| VSTOXX | +4.5% | +4.4% |
Top Gainers (WTD)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Cd Projekt Sa | +2.2% | +16.6% | |
| Be Semiconductor | -0.4% | +14.4% | |
| Vat Group Ag | +0.6% | +14.1% |
Top Losers (WTD)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Brunello Cucinel | -5.4% | -12.0% | |
| Pearson Plc | -4.0% | -11.4% | |
| Hays Plc | -1.7% | -11.4% |
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
- CD PROJEKT SA (CDR:XWAR) | 16.43% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 12 Jan.
- VAT GROUP AG (VACN:XSWX) | 14.09% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ASM INTL NV (ASM:XAMS) | 10.94% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ASML HOLDING NV (ASML:XAMS) | 7.91% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- RWE AG (RWE:XETR) | 7.38% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- EMS-CHEMIE HLDG (EMSN:XSWX) | 7.34% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ABRDN PLC (ABDN:XLON) | 7.34% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- SAFESTORE HOLDIN (SAFE:XLON) | 7.03% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- EQUINOR ASA (EQNR:XOSL) | 6.80% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- AZELIS GROUP NV (AZE:XBRU) | 6.71% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.