Focus: US
Market Close: Wed, 14 January 2026
Daily Insights
At market close, US equities presented a mixed picture with small-cap indices showing resilience amid broader market softness. Sector rotation favored defensive names and energy plays, reflecting investor caution in a landscape of rising volatility. Mega-cap technology stocks underperformed, contributing to the day's subdued tone, while commodities and cryptocurrencies displayed pockets of strength.
Sector and mover highlights:
- Tech led the downside, with heavy selling in big names like Nvidia, Amazon, Broadcom, Tesla, and others
- Banks extended recent weakness despite mostly solid Q4 earnings results (e.g., Bank of America slid post-earnings). Concerns included President Trump's proposed 10% cap on credit card interest rates (set to start soon) and broader regulatory/credit outlook pressures.
- Energy and some cyclical/materials sectors outperformed (Chevron up notably), supported by rising oil prices amid geopolitical tensions.
- Small caps (Russell 2000) continued to shine, showing rotation into broader market participation.
- Safe-haven assets like gold and silver hit or neared fresh record highs amid global uncertainties
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
Today's TEVO swing trade shortlist highlights five compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups, all oriented long in the consumer staples, energy, real estate, utilities, and industrials sectors. These opportunities target oversold conditions with improving momentum, featuring hit rates ranging from 69% to 81% based on historical performance. The concentration in long positions suggests positive expected value for medium-term swings over the next 1-4 weeks, emphasizing quality setups in a selective market environment.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)
| Qscore | Target | Δ% | HitRate% | |||
| Grocery Outlet (GO:XNGS) | -8.6 | 10.87 | +14.2% | 76% | ||
| Performance Food (PFGC:XNYS) | -8.4 | 98.00 | +4.0% | 81% | ||
| Cheniere Energy (LNG:XASE) | -7.1 | 207.53 | +3.9% | 76% | ||
| Crown Castle Inc (CCI:XNYS) | -4.1 | 92.41 | +4.2% | 69% | ||
| Jacobs Solutions (J:XNYS) | -7.3 | 146.10 | +5.1% | 71% |
TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.
Market Movements
Small-cap stocks outperformed their large-cap counterparts, with the Russell 2000 advancing while the S&P 500 and Russell 1000 edged lower; the Magnificent 7 also lagged, led by declines in Amazon and Microsoft. Energy and consumer staples sectors led gains via the SPDR ETFs, contrasting with weakness in technology and consumer discretionary, and the VIX rose notably amid subdued FX movements. Bitcoin extended its weekly strength, bucking the equity trend. What this means: The rotation toward defensives and small caps signals broadening participation but tempered risk appetite, potentially setting up mean-reversion in laggards as volatility ticks higher; pending reversal signals in select decliners like Lumentum reinforce opportunities for tactical positioning.
Movement signals: Pending Medium-Term Reversal shorts appeared in decliners such as Lumentum, while a long signal registered for Bitcoin, aligning with its outperformance.
Equities
| 1D | WTD | |
| Russell 2000 | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| Dow Jones | -0.09% | -0.7% |
| Russell 1000 | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| S&P 500 | -0.5% | -0.6% |
FX
| 1D | WTD | |
| US Dollar Index | +0.3% | +0.02% |
| EUR/USD | +0.02% | +0.08% |
| USD/JPY | -0.5% | +0.3% |
Volatility
| 1D | WTD | |
| VIX | +4.8% | +15.6% |
Crypto
| 1D | WTD | |
| Bitcoin | +2.2% | +7.2% |
US Sector ETFs
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Mp Materials Corp. | +8.6% | +11.8% | |
| Lyondellbasell-A | +6.8% | +6.8% | |
| Masimo Corp | +6.6% | -0.4% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| 1D | WTD | ||
| Lumentum Hol | -8.2% | -5.6% | |
| Unity Software I | -8.0% | -5.9% |
Sectors (Equal-Weighted)
Ranked by 1-day change
Quantmatix Success Stories
- INTUIT INC (INTU:XNGS) | 12.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- APELLIS PHARMACE (APLS:XNGS) | 12.4% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 12 Jan.
- MP Materials Corp. (MP:XNYS) | 11.8% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ALBEMARLE CORP (ALB:XNYS) | 10.1% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ROIVANT SCIENCES (ROIV:XNMS) | 8.3% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- DOXIMITY INC-A (DOCS:XNYS) | 8.2% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 12 Jan.
- INTEL CORP (INTC:XNGS) | 7.0% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- ALTRIA GROUP INC (MO:XNYS) | 6.9% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- FREEPORT-MCMORAN (FCX:XNYS) | 6.8% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Fri, 9 Jan.
- US FOODS HOLDING (USFD:XNYS) | 6.7% profit following a Short-Term Reversal on Mon, 12 Jan.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.