Quantmatix Report

Focus: Europe

Market Close: Tue, 13 January 2026

Daily Insights

Key Pending Medium-T Reversal

At market close yesterday, European equities presented a mixed picture with major indices showing minimal movement amid ongoing sector rotation. Energy and technology sectors demonstrated resilience, while utilities and communication services faced headwinds from broader risk-off sentiment. 

Key sector notes:

  • Construction stocks led declines (Vinci down 4.5%).
  • Gains in areas like aerospace/defense (Airbus), renewables/energy (Ørsted up sharply on project news), and select tech/healthcare names.
  • Overall sentiment remained positive due to attractive valuations, earnings optimism, and regional growth expectations, though investors eyed U.S. data and geopolitical factors.

The slight uptick in volatility underscores the need for vigilance, yet underlying trends point to potential opportunities in mean-reversion setups. European markets have carried strong momentum into 2026 following 2025's solid performance (STOXX 600 up notably last year), driven by factors like lower rates and stimulus. Yesterday's session reflected a brief pause rather than a reversal.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology

Today's TEVO methodology has identified three compelling Pending Medium-Term Reversal setups in the Stoxx 600, all leaning long amid improving medium-term momentum. These opportunities target oversold conditions in consumer and technology-related names, with hit rates above 68% indicating strong historical probability. The setups reflect a bullish bias, focusing on mean-reversion potential over the next 1-4 weeks as Qscores begin to advance.

Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks)

Qscore Target Δ% HitRate%
Latour Inv-B (LATOB:XSTO) -8.0 237.23 +4.5% 74%
Marks & Spencer (MKS:XLON) -4.6 3.61 +4.3% 71%
Sage Group (SGE:XLON) -4.1 11.43 +3.0% 68%

TEVO trades pick oversold/overbought but improving setups with positive expected value, strong historical hit-rates, giving you only the highest-probability swing opportunities each week.

Market Movements

European indices traded largely flat over the last trading day, with the Euro Stoxx 50 edging higher while the Stoxx 600 and FTSE 100 showed slight declines. Energy led sector gains with strong performance, followed by information technology, as materials and utilities lagged amid rotation away from defensives. Top performers included consumer discretionary names like Whitbread and technology plays like Soitec, contrasting with sharp drops in materials such as Sika and Rockwool. The VSTOXX rose modestly, indicating contained but rising risk awareness. Week-to-date, energy continues to outperform, supporting a constructive tone in cyclical sectors.

Movement signals: Among today's top movers, Soitec registered a Pending Medium-Term Reversal long setup, while Buzzi SPA shows a Pending Medium-Term Reversal short, highlighting potential mean-reversion plays in divergent names.

Market Snapshot

Equities

1D WTD
Euro Stoxx 50 +0.22% +0.54%
DAX +0.06% +0.63%
FTSE 100 -0.03% +0.13%
STOXX 600 -0.08% +0.13%
CAC 40 -0.14% -0.18%

Volatility

1D WTD
VSTOXX +1.5% +6.0%
Focus Index
Stoxx 600

Top Gainers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Whitbread Plc +7.1% +5.0%
Soitec +6.0% +4.9%
Orsted A/S +5.4% +3.2%

Top Losers (1-Day)

1D WTD
Sika Ag-Reg -9.5% -9.6%
Rockwool A/S-B -7.7% -9.8%
Buzzi Spa -7.2% -4.2%

Sectors (Equal-Weighted)

1D (%)
Energy
+2.0%
Information Technology
+0.51%
Materials
0%
Consumer Staples
-0.19%
Financials
-0.28%
Health Care
-0.39%
Consumer Discretionary
-0.46%
Real Estate
-0.54%
Communication Services
-0.59%
Industrials
-0.68%
Utilities
-0.87%

Ranked by 1-day change

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Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.