Focus: US Daily Market Insights
Market Close: Thu, 11 December 2025
North American markets displayed mixed results at today's close, with the Dow Jones rising 1.3% on strength in materials and financial sectors, while the S&P 500 gained a modest 0.2%. This rotation aligns with our Medium-Term Reversal signals in consumer-facing names like TOAST Inc. and Live Nation Entertainment, where momentum indicators point to potential upside in leisure and payments over the next 1-4 weeks. Broader sentiment remains cautious amid declining volatility, setting the stage for selective opportunities in our highlighted setups.
The Fed's "dot plot" signaled just one more quarter-point cut in 2026, tempering expectations for aggressive easing and contributing to a more cautious tone. However, Chair Powell's comments on uneven inflation progress and no rush to tighten supported broader gains.
Swing Trading Ideas (1–4 Weeks) - TEVO Methodology
- TOAST INC-A (TOST:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -7.9 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 39.07 | 8.6% | Hit Rate: 100%
- LIVE NATION ENTE (LYV:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -5.7 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 150.3 | 5.9% | Hit Rate: 83%
- TREX CO INC (TREX:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.0 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 40.78 | 15.2% | Hit Rate: 64%
- RPM INTL INC (RPM:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -8.6 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 112.26 | 4.8% | Hit Rate: 84%
- CHARTER COMMUN-A (CHTR:XNGS) | MT-Qscore -7.7 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 228.44 | 7.7% | Hit Rate: 73%
- BUILDERS FIRSTSO (BLDR:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -4.6 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 119.81 | 9.1% | Hit Rate: 70%
- MASTERCARD INC-A (MA:XNYS) | MT-Qscore -4.3 | Medium-Term Reversal positive signal Today. | Target1: 582.85 | 3.5% | Hit Rate: 78%
Market Movements
Major indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 1.3% and Russell 2000 advancing 1.2% over the last trading day, while the S&P 500 rose 0.2%; week-to-date, the Dow gained 1.6%, Russell 2.7%, and S&P 0.5%, as the VIX fell 5.8%.
Top Gainers (1-Day)
| VAIL RESORTS (MTN:XNYS) | +9.3% |
| CIENA CORP (CIEN:XNYS) | +9.3% |
| ROYAL CARIBBEAN (RCL:XNYS) | +7.4% |
Top Losers (1-Day)
| ORACLE CORP (ORCL:XNYS) | -10.8% |
| ROBINHOOD MARK-A (HOOD:XNGS) | -9.1% |
| MEDICAL PROPERTI (MPW:XNYS) | -6.9% |
Top Sector Gainers (1-Day)*
| Materials | +1.8% |
| Consumer Discretionary | +1.3% |
| Financials | +1.1% |
* equal-weighted
Top Sector Losers (1-Day)*
| Energy | -1.0% |
Materials and financials led today’s gains, while energy lagged, with several names extending strong WTD momentum in technology and leisure.
Mag 7
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT:XNGS) rose 1.0% over the last trading day and 0.1% week-to-date.
- META PLATFORMS-A (META:XNGS) rose 0.4% over the last trading day and -3.1% week-to-date.
- APPLE INC (AAPL:XNGS) | MT-Qscore 7.6 | Medium-Term Reversal negative signal Today. | Target1: 262.02 | -5.8% | Hit Rate: 56%
- AMAZON.COM INC (AMZN:XNGS) fell 0.7% over the last trading day and 0.3% week-to-date.
- TESLA INC (TSLA:XNGS) fell 1.0% over the last trading day and -1.8% week-to-date.
- NVIDIA CORP (NVDA:XNGS) fell 1.6% over the last trading day and -0.8% week-to-date.
- ALPHABET INC-C (GOOG:XNGS) fell 2.3% over the last trading day and -2.5% week-to-date.
Overall Mag 7 momentum is fading, with most names under pressure amid broader tech rotation.
Quantmatix Success Stories
- CORE & MAIN IN-A (CNM:XNYS) | 13.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- AGILON HEALTH IN (AGL:XNYS) | 10.5% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- KKR & CO INC (KKR:XNYS) | 10.3% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- OMNICOM GROUP (OMC:XNYS) | 9.5% profit following a Short-Term Reversal long signal on Mon, 8 Dec.
- ENVISTA HOLDINGS (NVST:XNYS) | 9.4% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- WINGSTOP INC (WING:XNGS) | 8.7% profit following a Short-Term Reversal short signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- LITHIA MOTORS (LAD:XNYS) | 8.6% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- LINCOLN NATL CRP (LNC:XNYS) | 8.2% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- ALLY FINANCIAL I (ALLY:XNYS) | 8.1% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
- UNITY SOFTWARE I (U:XNYS) | 7.5% profit following a Medium-Term Reversal long signal on Fri, 5 Dec.
Disclaimer: These insights are generated using AI and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The content may be incomplete or contain errors and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making financial choices.